

Biggest swing · MIN at NYK
T. Lyles 24' 3PT (3 PTS) (A. Dosunmu 2 AST).
Q3, 3:18.
Timberwolves 87, Knicks 78 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 559 readings · Final · October 12, 2026
+13to MIN
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polling · 30 min tick · as of 6:59 AM ET · 8 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · MIN AT NYK
Our win probability · Timberwolves came back from a 41% chance at Q1 9:26 · the favourite changed 15 times
Final · October 12, 2026
Top scorers
A. Edwards
26pts · 8 of 16
J. Brunson
20pts · 6 of 13
By quarter
Timberwolves won by 18
Our reading, one per play
Timberwolves took the edge for good at 3:58 in the second quarter, after the favourite had changed 15 times.
13points
Biggest swing · Timberwolves
15
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
559 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
559 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | MINNYK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | MIN +5 | MIN +15 pts | |
| Q2 | MIN +7 | MIN +22 pts | |
| Q3 | NYK +2 | MIN +5 pts | |
| Q4 | MIN +8 | MIN +14 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 559 readings the river draws.
Runs · 7
Last playQ4 0:00 · MIN 122–NYK 104 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 123
One pin a scoring play — 123 scoring plays on 106 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
NYK 35 baskets, 104 pts · MIN 42 baskets, 122 pts
7 plays moved it 10 points or more — 5 of them in the third quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (12.8). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
7 runs
The Timberwolves led for 45 minutes and by as many as 20 — their biggest run was 19–9 in the third quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Timberwolves won the fourth quarter 32–24 — the widest chapter of the game.
MIN left, NYK right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Knicks went on a 10–0 run over 1:37 — level again. The longest dry spell: Knicks went 3:05 without a point — Q3 1:54 to Q4 10:49 — while Timberwolves scored 1.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Timberwolves went on a 10–2 run over 2:06 — a 9-point lead.
Run10–2Knicks went on a 10–2 run over 2:19 — the deficit down to 1.
Run10–2Timberwolves went on a 8–0 run over 2:44 — a 9-point lead.
Run8–0Knicks went 3:01 without a point — Q1 3:51 to Q1 0:50 — while Timberwolves scored 8.
Lull3:01The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 10:34 — Timberwolves won that stretch by 7.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 5:35 — Knicks lost that stretch by 1.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Timberwolves 122, Knicks 104, final.