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polling · 30 min tick · as of 12:26 AM ET · 12 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · MEM AT ATL
Our win probability · Grizzlies came back from a 22% chance at Q1 6:54 · the favourite changed 9 times
Final · October 5, 2026
Top scorers
SUB
14pts · 5 of 7
SUB
19pts · 7 of 11
By quarter
Grizzlies won by 9
Our reading, one per play
Grizzlies took the edge for good at 9:41 in the second quarter, after the favourite had changed 9 times.
11points
Biggest swing · Grizzlies
9
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
631 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
631 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | MEMATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | ATL +3 | ATL +5 pts | |
| Q2 | MEM +23 | MEM +53 pts | |
| Q3 | ATL +8 | ATL +2 pts | |
| Q4 | ATL +3 | MEM +10 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 631 readings the river draws.
Runs · 5
Last playQ4 0:00 · MEM 132–ATL 123 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 137
One pin a scoring play — 137 scoring plays on 113 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
ATL 43 baskets, 123 pts · MEM 43 baskets, 132 pts
4 plays moved it 10 points or more — 4 of them in the second quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (10.6). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
5 runs
The Grizzlies led for 35 minutes and by as many as 23 — their biggest run was 21–8 in the third quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
20–7
10–216–321–814–5Clutch · last 5:00, within 5The game in chapters · points
The Grizzlies won the second quarter 49–26 — the widest chapter of the game.
MEM left, ATL right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Grizzlies went on a 16–3 run over 2:51 — a 12-point lead. The longest dry spell: Hawks went 3:10 without a point — Q2 0:55 to Q3 9:45 — while Grizzlies scored 5.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Hawks went on a 20–7 run over 4:31 — a 11-point lead.
Run20–7Grizzlies went on a 10–2 run over 2:22 — the deficit down to 3.
Run10–2Grizzlies went on a 16–3 run over 2:51 — a 12-point lead.
Run16–3Grizzlies went on a 21–8 run over 6:05 — a 23-point lead.
Run21–8The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 4:07 — Grizzlies won that stretch by 2.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 2:43 — Hawks level.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Grizzlies 132, Hawks 123, final.
