

Biggest swing · ATL at IND
R. Mast 26' 3PT (3 PTS) (B. Smith 5 AST).
Q4, 0:20.
Hawks 118, Pacers 117 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 568 readings · Final · October 10, 2026
+40to IND
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live · 20s tick · as of 8:53 PM ET · 0s ago · 1 live · 1 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · ATL AT IND
Our win probability · Hawks came back from a 29% chance at Q1 8:38 · the favourite changed 17 times
Final · October 10, 2026
Top scorers
J. Johnson REBOUND
20pts · 8 of 12
K. Oubre Jr.
13pts · 5 of 8
By quarter
Hawks won by 2
Our reading, one per play
Hawks took the edge for good at 8:54 in the third quarter, after the favourite had changed 17 times.
40points
Biggest swing · Pacers
17
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
568 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
568 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | ATLIND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | IND +1 | Flat | |
| Q2 | ATL +3 | ATL +10 pts | |
| Q3 | ATL +8 | ATL +29 pts | |
| Q4 | IND +8 | ATL +17 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 568 readings the river draws.
Runs · 5
Last playQ4 0:00 · ATL 119–IND 117 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 130
One pin a scoring play — 130 scoring plays on 107 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
IND 39 baskets, 117 pts · ATL 39 baskets, 119 pts
38 plays moved it 10 points or more — 26 of them in the fourth quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (40.0). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
5 runs
The Hawks led for 33 minutes and by as many as 10 — their biggest run was 10–0 in the second quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Hawks won the third quarter 34–26 — the widest chapter of the game.
ATL left, IND right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Hawks went on a 10–0 run over 2:50 — a 9-point lead. The longest dry spell: Hawks went 4:04 without a point — Q3 0:41 to Q4 8:37 — while Pacers scored 8.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Pacers went on a 12–4 run over 2:03 — a 7-point lead.
Run12–4Hawks went on a 9–1 run over 1:42 — a 3-point lead.
Run9–1Hawks went on a 10–0 run over 2:50 — a 9-point lead.
Run10–0Pacers went 3:25 without a point — Q2 6:46 to Q2 3:21 — while Hawks scored 10.
Lull3:25The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 8:48 — Hawks level.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 0:52 — Pacers won that stretch by 1.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Hawks 119, Pacers 117, final.