

Biggest swing · HOU at DAL
C. Flagg 26' 3PT (9 PTS) (D. Powell 1 AST).
Q2, 9:01.
Rockets 34, Mavericks 26 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 608 readings · Final · October 9, 2026
+9to DAL
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live · 20s tick · as of 9:43 PM ET · 0s ago · 1 live · 1 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · HOU AT DAL
Our win probability · Rockets came back from a 43% chance at Q1 11:25 · the favourite changed 3 times
Final · October 9, 2026
Top scorers
SUB
20pts · 6 of 10
C. Flagg
19pts · 7 of 14
By quarter
Rockets won by 18
Our reading, one per play
Rockets took the edge for good at 9:46 in the first quarter, after the favourite had changed 3 times.
9points
Biggest swing · Mavericks
3
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
608 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
608 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | HOUDAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | HOU +8 | HOU +19 pts | |
| Q2 | HOU +12 | HOU +28 pts | |
| Q3 | DAL +1 | HOU +6 pts | |
| Q4 | DAL +1 | HOU +3 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 608 readings the river draws.
Runs · 6
Last playQ4 0:00 · HOU 135–DAL 117 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 125
One pin a scoring play — 125 scoring plays on 111 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
DAL 44 baskets, 117 pts · HOU 47 baskets, 135 pts
No play moved it 10 points — a game that was never in doubt.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (1.0). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
6 runs
The Rockets led for 46 minutes and by as many as 28 — their biggest run was 24–7 in the second quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Rockets won the second quarter 38–26 — the widest chapter of the game.
HOU left, DAL right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Rockets went on a 24–7 run over 6:25 — a 25-point lead. The longest dry spell: Mavericks went 3:05 without a point — Q2 5:23 to Q2 2:18 — while Rockets scored 9.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Rockets went on a 24–7 run over 6:25 — a 25-point lead.
Run24–7Mavericks went 3:05 without a point — Q2 5:23 to Q2 2:18 — while Rockets scored 9.
Lull3:05Mavericks went on a 13–5 run over 2:48 — the deficit down to 10.
Run13–5Rockets went on a 10–0 run over 2:36 — a 28-point lead.
Run10–0The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 3:59 — Rockets lost that stretch by 4.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 3:59 — Mavericks won that stretch by 4.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Rockets 135, Mavericks 117, final.