

Biggest swing · OKC at HOU
J. Williams 24' 3PT (12 PTS) (S. Gilgeous-Alexander 3 AST).
Q2, 1:58.
Rockets 48, Thunder 46 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 545 readings · Final · October 15, 2026
+8to OKC
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live · 20s tick · as of 9:43 PM ET · 6s ago · 1 live · 1 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · OKC AT HOU
Our win probability · Rockets never fell below 50%
Final · October 15, 2026
Top scorers
J. Williams
18pts · 7 of 14
SUB
15pts · 5 of 9
By quarter
Rockets won by 27
Our reading, one per play
Rockets held the edge from the first reading to the horn — the favourite never changed.
8points
Biggest swing · Thunder
0
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
545 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
545 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | OKCHOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | HOU +18 | HOU +31 pts | |
| Q2 | OKC +11 | OKC +15 pts | |
| Q3 | HOU +3 | HOU +14 pts | |
| Q4 | HOU +17 | HOU +14 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 545 readings the river draws.
Runs · 6
Last playQ4 0:00 · OKC 89–HOU 116 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 100
One pin a scoring play — 100 scoring plays on 92 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
HOU 47 baskets, 116 pts · OKC 36 baskets, 89 pts
No play moved it 10 points — a game that was never in doubt.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (1.0). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
6 runs
The Rockets led for 45 minutes and by as many as 29 — their biggest run was 20–0 in the first quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Rockets won the first quarter 33–15 — the widest chapter of the game.
OKC left, HOU right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Rockets went on a 20–0 run over 5:06 — a 18-point lead. The longest dry spell: Thunder went 6:05 without a point — Q1 8:13 to Q1 2:08 — while Rockets scored 20.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Rockets went on a 20–0 run over 5:06 — a 18-point lead.
Run20–0Thunder went 6:05 without a point — Q1 8:13 to Q1 2:08 — while Rockets scored 20.
Lull6:05Thunder went on a 12–4 run over 2:34 — the deficit down to 2.
Run12–4Rockets went on a 16–0 run over 3:34 — a 19-point lead.
Run16–0The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 4:56 — Thunder won that stretch by 2.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 2:07 — Rockets level.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Thunder 89, Rockets 116, final.