

Biggest swing · MIN at MIL
N. Ament 3PT (3 PTS) (A. Green 2 AST).
Q3, 2:58.
Timberwolves 74, Bucks 73 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 628 readings · Final · October 5, 2026
+12to MIL
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polling · 30 min tick · as of 12:27 AM ET · 12 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · MIN AT MIL
Our win probability · Timberwolves came back from a 39% chance at Q1 11:02 · the favourite changed 13 times
Final · October 5, 2026
Top scorers
A. Edwards
14pts · 4 of 13
R. Rollins
15pts · 6 of 12
By quarter
Timberwolves won by 19
Our reading, one per play
Timberwolves took the edge for good at 1:15 in the third quarter, after the favourite had changed 13 times.
12points
Biggest swing · Bucks
13
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
628 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
628 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | MINMIL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | MIN +11 | MIN +26 pts | |
| Q2 | MIN +1 | MIN +11 pts | |
| Q3 | MIL +7 | MIL +14 pts | |
| Q4 | MIN +14 | MIN +34 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 628 readings the river draws.
Runs · 4
Last playQ4 0:00 · MIN 116–MIL 97 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 118
One pin a scoring play — 118 scoring plays on 98 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
MIL 30 baskets, 97 pts · MIN 40 baskets, 116 pts
2 plays moved it 10 points or more — 1 of them in the fourth quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (11.9). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
4 runs
The Timberwolves led for 46 minutes and by as many as 21 — their biggest run was 23–5 in the second quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Timberwolves won the fourth quarter 35–21 — the widest chapter of the game.
MIN left, MIL right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Timberwolves went on a 23–5 run over 5:53 — a 21-point lead. The longest dry spell: Bucks went 3:51 without a point — Q3 2:04 to Q4 10:13 — while Timberwolves scored 12.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Timberwolves went on a 15–5 run over 4:59 — a 8-point lead.
Run15–5Timberwolves went on a 23–5 run over 5:53 — a 21-point lead.
Run23–5Bucks went on a 26–10 run over 6:40 — the deficit down to 5.
Run26–10Timberwolves went 3:02 without a point — Q3 7:09 to Q3 4:07 — while Bucks scored 5.
Lull3:02The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 5:23 — Timberwolves won that stretch by 6.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 5:23 — Bucks lost that stretch by 6.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Timberwolves 116, Bucks 97, final.