

Biggest swing · DEN at UTA
C. Johnson 24' 3PT (10 PTS) (N. Jokić 4 AST).
Q2, 2:02.
Nuggets 55, Jazz 50 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 578 readings · Final · October 6, 2026
+12to DEN
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live · 20s tick · as of 11:47 PM ET · 7s ago · 1 live · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · DEN AT UTA
Our win probability · Nuggets came back from a 24% chance at Q1 0:29 · the favourite changed 7 times
Final · October 6, 2026
Top scorers
A. Gordon
18pts · 5 of 7
D. Peterson
23pts · 10 of 18
By quarter
Nuggets won by 11
Our reading, one per play
Nuggets took the edge for good at 2:02 in the second quarter, after the favourite had changed 7 times.
12points
Biggest swing · Nuggets
7
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
578 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
578 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | DENUTA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | UTA +7 | UTA +16 pts | |
| Q2 | DEN +13 | DEN +38 pts | |
| Q3 | DEN +8 | DEN +25 pts | |
| Q4 | UTA +3 | DEN +9 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 578 readings the river draws.
Runs · 1
Last playQ4 0:00 · DEN 117–UTA 106 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 121
One pin a scoring play — 121 scoring plays on 104 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
UTA 41 baskets, 106 pts · DEN 38 baskets, 117 pts
4 plays moved it 10 points or more — 4 of them in the second quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (12.2). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
One run
The Nuggets led for 29 minutes and by as many as 21 — their biggest run was 13–2 in the third quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Nuggets won the second quarter 41–28 — the widest chapter of the game.
DEN left, UTA right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Nuggets went on a 13–2 run over 3:38 — a 17-point lead. The longest dry spell: Nuggets went 3:40 without a point — Q4 9:40 to Q4 6:00 — while Jazz scored 7.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Nuggets went on a 13–2 run over 3:38 — a 17-point lead.
Run13–2Nuggets went 3:40 without a point — Q4 9:40 to Q4 6:00 — while Jazz scored 7.
Lull3:40The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 5:20 — Nuggets lost that stretch by 3.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 7:35 — Jazz won that stretch by 3.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Nuggets 117, Jazz 106, final.