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polling · 5 min tick · as of 4:54 PM ET · 2 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · MIN AT IND
Our win probability · Pacers came back from a 34% chance at Q1 5:40 · the favourite changed 26 times
Final · October 7, 2026
Top scorers
A. Edwards
19pts · 5 of 10
A. Nesmith
19pts · 7 of 9
By quarter
Pacers won by 11
Our reading, one per play
Pacers took the edge for good at 8:36 in the third quarter, after the favourite had changed 26 times.
14points
Biggest swing · Pacers
26
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
567 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
567 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | MININD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | IND +5 | IND +12 pts | |
| Q2 | MIN +9 | MIN +25 pts | |
| Q3 | IND +12 | IND +41 pts | |
| Q4 | IND +3 | IND +16 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 567 readings the river draws.
Runs · 4
Last playQ4 0:00 · MIN 112–IND 123 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 114
One pin a scoring play — 114 scoring plays on 100 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
IND 48 baskets, 123 pts · MIN 37 baskets, 112 pts
20 plays moved it 10 points or more — 11 of them in the third quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (14.4). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
4 runs
The Pacers led for 29 minutes and by as many as 13 — their biggest run was 18–1 in the first quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
14–4
18–115–515–5The game in chapters · points
The Pacers won the third quarter 38–26 — the widest chapter of the game.
MIN left, IND right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Pacers went on a 18–1 run over 3:47 — a 9-point lead. The longest dry spell: Timberwolves went 3:36 without a point — Q1 4:40 to Q1 1:04 — while Pacers scored 15.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Timberwolves went on a 14–4 run over 4:27 — a 9-point lead.
Run14–4Pacers went 3:14 without a point — Q1 10:07 to Q1 6:53 — while Timberwolves scored 10.
Lull3:14Pacers went on a 18–1 run over 3:47 — a 9-point lead.
Run18–1Timberwolves went 3:36 without a point — Q1 4:40 to Q1 1:04 — while Pacers scored 15.
Lull3:36The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 6:13 — Timberwolves lost that stretch by 6.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 2:15 — Pacers won that stretch by 1.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Timberwolves 112, Pacers 123, final.
