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polling · 5 min tick · as of 4:55 PM ET · 2 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · MIL AT OKC
Our win probability · Bucks came back from a 4.5% chance at Q2 3:21 · the favourite changed 19 times
Final · October 7, 2026
Top scorers
M. Turner
19pts · 5 of 8
A. Mara REBOUND
22pts · 10 of 10
By quarter
Bucks won by 2
Our reading, one per play
Bucks took the edge for good at 0:47 in the fourth quarter, after the favourite had changed 19 times.
36points
Biggest swing · Bucks
19
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
624 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
624 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | MILOKC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | OKC +9 | OKC +20 pts | |
| Q2 | OKC +9 | OKC +16 pts | |
| Q3 | MIL +13 | MIL +20 pts | |
| Q4 | MIL +7 | MIL +72 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 624 readings the river draws.
Runs · 7
Last playQ4 0:00 · MIL 128–OKC 126 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 133
One pin a scoring play — 133 scoring plays on 117 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
OKC 46 baskets, 126 pts · MIL 44 baskets, 128 pts
24 plays moved it 10 points or more — 19 of them in the fourth quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (35.8). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
7 runs
The Thunder led for 39 minutes and by as many as 24 — the Bucks' 21–2 in the third quarter and a 31–24 fourth took it back.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
13–5
18–618–717–321–28–013–0Clutch · last 5:00, within 5The game in chapters · points
The Bucks won the third quarter 33–20 — the widest chapter of the game.
MIL left, OKC right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Bucks went on a 21–2 run over 6:30 — the deficit down to 2. The longest dry spell: Thunder went 5:25 without a point — Q3 9:19 to Q3 3:54 — while Bucks scored 19.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Bucks went on a 13–5 run over 2:08 — a 6-point lead.
Run13–5Thunder went on a 18–6 run over 3:01 — a 7-point lead.
Run18–6Thunder went on a 18–7 run over 4:50 — a 12-point lead.
Run18–7Thunder went on a 17–3 run over 2:41 — a 22-point lead.
Run17–3The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 4:18 — Bucks won that stretch by 2.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 4:46 — Thunder lost that stretch by 3.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Bucks 128, Thunder 126, final.
