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polling · 5 min tick · as of 4:54 PM ET · 2 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · GSW AT POR
Our win probability · Trail Blazers came back from a 41% chance at Q4 10:13 · the favourite changed 16 times
Final · October 7, 2026
Top scorers
SUB
24pts · 8 of 16
D. Avdija
23pts · 9 of 13
By quarter
Trail Blazers won by 5
Our reading, one per play
Trail Blazers took the edge for good at 9:31 in the fourth quarter, after the favourite had changed 16 times.
14points
Biggest swing · Trail Blazers
16
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
642 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
642 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | GSWPOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | POR +5 | POR +12 pts | |
| Q2 | POR +2 | POR +7 pts | |
| Q3 | GSW +7 | GSW +24 pts | |
| Q4 | POR +5 | POR +49 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 642 readings the river draws.
Runs · 8
Last playQ4 0:00 · GSW 118–POR 123 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 118
One pin a scoring play — 118 scoring plays on 103 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
POR 45 baskets, 123 pts · GSW 42 baskets, 118 pts
14 plays moved it 10 points or more — 9 of them in the third quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (14.4). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
8 runs
The Trail Blazers led for 39 minutes and by as many as 12 — their biggest run was 17–5 in the fourth.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
10–018–10
13–59–115–216–613–417–5Clutch · last 5:00, within 5The game in chapters · points
The Warriors won the third quarter 36–29 — the widest chapter of the game.
GSW left, POR right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Warriors went on a 15–2 run over 4:15 — a 3-point lead. The longest dry spell: Trail Blazers went 3:20 without a point — Q1 7:30 to Q1 4:10 — while Warriors scored 7.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Trail Blazers went on a 10–0 run over 1:38 — a 8-point lead.
Run10–0Trail Blazers went 3:20 without a point — Q1 7:30 to Q1 4:10 — while Warriors scored 7.
Lull3:20Trail Blazers went on a 18–10 run over 3:47 — a 10-point lead.
Run18–10Trail Blazers went 3:00 without a point — Q1 1:08 to Q2 10:08 — while Warriors scored 5.
Lull3:00The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 0:04 — Warriors level.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 3:28 — Trail Blazers lost that stretch by 4.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Warriors 118, Trail Blazers 123, final.
