LON at POR — Live Game Room

FINAL · LON AT POR

Trail Blazers beat the LON by 53 — 119–66.

Our win probability · Trail Blazers never fell below 55%

Final · October 12, 2026

Top scorers

M. Lewis REBOUND

13pts · 4 of 8

SUB

14pts · 4 of 7

By quarter

Club	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
LON	21	12	16	17
POR	34	38	28	19

53Won by POR

47:22POR ledof 48:00

57Largest leadLead changes: none

← Tonight’s games

FINALOctober 12, 2026

Trail Blazers won by 53

every action, The river

Trail Blazers led from the first basket to the horn.First basket: Camara, 11:22 Q1 · last: 0:40 Q4

Win probability
Our reading, one per play

9points

Biggest swing · Trail Blazers

Times the favourite changed

Where this number comes from

Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.

532 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.

Quarter flow

532 readings

Quarter	Score	Win chance
Q1	POR +13	POR +25 pts
Q2	POR +26	POR +18 pts
Q3	POR +12	POR +1 pts
Q4	POR +2	Flat

Bar = the quarter’s margin, toward the club that won it

About the quarter flow

Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 532 readings the river draws.

Runs · 5

Last playQ4 0:00 · LON 66–POR 119 · End, game · held

Scoring plays · 94

One pin a scoring play — 94 scoring plays on 81 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.

POR 45 baskets, 119 pts · LON 23 baskets, 66 pts

every action, Key beats

No play moved it 10 points — a game that was never in doubt.

How much a play had to move it

Every 5-point move shows 10

About these bars

Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (1.0). A tap puts the river’s head on it.

every possession, Runs and the clutch

Runs · the game’s tide

5 runs

The Trail Blazers led for 47 minutes and by as many as 57 — their biggest run was 36–5 in the third quarter.

Time leading: POR 47:22 · LON 0:00
Lead changes: 0
Tied: 0
Biggest lead: POR 57 · LON —
Pace: —

— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.

8–0

13–5

34–7

36–5

8–0

The game in chapters · points

The Trail Blazers won the second quarter 38–12 — the widest chapter of the game.

2121 ptsQ13434 pts

1212 ptsQ23838 pts

1616 ptsQ32828 pts

1717 ptsQ41919 pts

LON left, POR right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.

↗

every action, The flow — runs, lulls and the floor

Trail Blazers went on a 36–5 run over 9:20 — a 55-point lead. The longest dry spell: LON went 6:18 without a point — Q1 1:42 to Q2 7:24 — while Trail Blazers scored 19.

Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock

Trail Blazers went on a 8–0 run over 1:20 — a 12-point lead.
Run8–0
LON went on a 13–5 run over 3:36 — the deficit down to 4.
Run13–5
Trail Blazers went on a 34–7 run over 9:40 — a 31-point lead.
Run34–7
LON went 6:18 without a point — Q1 1:42 to Q2 7:24 — while Trail Blazers scored 19.
Lull6:18

The fives that closed it

LON+1

A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file

Closed the game together from Q4 3:02 — LON won that stretch by 1.

POR−1

A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file

Closed the game together from Q4 3:02 — Trail Blazers lost that stretch by 1.

Every stint, on and off

LON closing five · the last 3:02+1

POR closing five · the last 3:02−1

−33−20−13

−26−27+1

−15−38+23

−34−19−15

−24−29+5

−17−36+19

−37−16−21

−31−22−9

−14−39+25

−9−44+35

−11−42+31

+16+37−21

+38+15+23

+11+42−31

+6+47−41

+2+51−49

+47+6+41

−4+57−61

+28+25+3

+13+40−27

+16+37−21

+36+17+19

+40+13+27

−4+57−61

+20+33−13

Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.

every action, Two models

Reading the outside line.

every possession, Projection

The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.

every action, Against his band

Reading tonight’s bands.