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live · 20s tick · as of 10:23 PM ET · 0s ago · 1 live · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · MIL AT IND
Our win probability · Bucks came back from a 4.2% chance at Q4 0:09 · the favourite changed 35 times
Final · OT · October 16, 2026
Top scorers
T. Herro
25pts · 10 of 16
P. Siakam
24pts · 8 of 10
By quarter
Bucks won by 1
Our reading, one per play
Bucks took the edge for good at 0:56 in overtime, after the favourite had changed 35 times.
42points
Biggest swing · Bucks
35
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
644 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
644 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | MILIND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | IND +8 | IND +18 pts | |
| Q2 | IND +7 | IND +15 pts | |
| Q3 | MIL +12 | MIL +25 pts | |
| Q4 | MIL +3 | MIL +25 pts | |
| OT | MIL +1 | MIL +39 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 644 readings the river draws.
Runs · 7
Last playOT 0:00 · MIL 128–IND 127 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 120
One pin a scoring play — 120 scoring plays on 113 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
IND 50 baskets, 127 pts · MIL 52 baskets, 128 pts
49 plays moved it 10 points or more — 31 of them in the fourth quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (42.0). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
7 runs
The Pacers led for 34 minutes and by as many as 19 — the Bucks' 13–3 in the fourth and a 11–10 overtime took it back.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
11–0
8–022–38–013–313–48–0Clutch · last 5:00, within 5The game in chapters · points
The Bucks won the third quarter 34–22 — the widest chapter of the game.
MIL left, IND right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Pacers went on a 22–3 run over 4:45 — a 16-point lead. The longest dry spell: Bucks went 6:36 without a point — Q1 4:39 to Q2 10:03 — while Pacers scored 19.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Pacers went on a 11–0 run over 1:46 — a 6-point lead.
Run11–0Pacers went 6:00 without a point — Q1 8:06 to Q1 2:06 — while Bucks scored 11.
Lull6:00Bucks went on a 8–0 run over 1:42 — a 5-point lead.
Run8–0Bucks went 6:36 without a point — Q1 4:39 to Q2 10:03 — while Pacers scored 19.
Lull6:36The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from OT 5:00 — Bucks won that stretch by 1.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from OT 5:00 — Pacers lost that stretch by 1.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Bucks 128, Pacers 127, final.
