

Biggest swing · CHI at DEN
O. Robinson 26' 3PT (8 PTS) (D. Peterson 1 AST).
Q4, 1:30.
Nuggets 126, Bulls 125 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 604 readings · Final · October 11, 2026
+32to CHI
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live · 20s tick · as of 8:33 PM ET · 0s ago · 1 live · 1 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · CHI AT DEN
Our win probability · Nuggets came back from a 16% chance at Q3 11:25 · the favourite changed 26 times
Final · October 11, 2026
Top scorers
SUB
26pts · 11 of 14
A. Gordon REBOUND
25pts · 9 of 12
By quarter
Nuggets won by 5
Our reading, one per play
Nuggets took the edge for good at 2:32 in the third quarter, after the favourite had changed 26 times.
32points
Biggest swing · Bulls
26
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
604 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
604 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | CHIDEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | DEN +2 | DEN +3 pts | |
| Q2 | CHI +11 | CHI +32 pts | |
| Q3 | DEN +14 | DEN +46 pts | |
| Q4 | Level | DEN +28 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 604 readings the river draws.
Runs · 4
Last playQ4 0:00 · CHI 128–DEN 133 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 136
One pin a scoring play — 136 scoring plays on 118 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
DEN 44 baskets, 133 pts · CHI 47 baskets, 128 pts
32 plays moved it 10 points or more — 20 of them in the fourth quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (32.1). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
4 runs
The Bulls led for 24 minutes and by as many as 15 — the Nuggets' 24–9 in the third quarter took it back.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Nuggets won the third quarter 40–26 — the widest chapter of the game.
CHI left, DEN right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Nuggets went on a 24–9 run over 6:01 — a 1-point lead.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Nuggets went on a 8–0 run over 1:52 — a 5-point lead.
Run8–0Bulls went on a 10–1 run over 1:17 — a 15-point lead.
Run10–1Bulls went on a 8–0 run over 2:09 — a 14-point lead.
Run8–0Nuggets went on a 24–9 run over 6:01 — a 1-point lead.
Run24–9The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 2:24 — Bulls lost that stretch by 3.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 6:37 — Nuggets won that stretch by 1.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Bulls 128, Nuggets 133, final.