

Biggest swing · GSW at LAC
K. Wagler 19' step back Jump Shot (15 PTS).
Q4, 0:14.
Clippers 102, Warriors 101 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 663 readings · Final · October 4, 2026
+52to LAC
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polling · 30 min tick · as of 1:12 AM ET · 12 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · GSW AT LAC
Our win probability · Clippers came back from a 19% chance at Q4 6:49 · the favourite changed 32 times
Final · October 4, 2026
Top scorers
SUB
12pts · 6 of 10
R. Hachimura
21pts · 8 of 11
By quarter
Clippers won by 3
Our reading, one per play
Clippers took the edge for good at 0:14 in the fourth quarter, after the favourite had changed 32 times.
52points
Biggest swing · Clippers
32
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
663 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
663 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | GSWLAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | GSW +1 | GSW +2 pts | |
| Q2 | LAC +13 | LAC +31 pts | |
| Q3 | GSW +8 | GSW +13 pts | |
| Q4 | GSW +1 | LAC +28 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 663 readings the river draws.
Runs · 5
Last playQ4 0:00 · GSW 101–LAC 104 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 119
One pin a scoring play — 119 scoring plays on 97 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
LAC 32 baskets, 104 pts · GSW 37 baskets, 101 pts
28 plays moved it 10 points or more — 26 of them in the fourth quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (52.4). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
5 runs
The Clippers led for 33 minutes and by as many as 13 — their biggest run was 18–7 in the second quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Clippers won the second quarter 32–19 — the widest chapter of the game.
GSW left, LAC right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Clippers went on a 13–2 run over 2:36 — a 6-point lead. The longest dry spell: Warriors went 3:33 without a point — Q1 1:21 to Q2 9:48 — while Clippers scored 6.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Clippers went on a 13–2 run over 2:36 — a 6-point lead.
Run13–2Clippers went 3:12 without a point — Q1 2:15 to Q2 11:03 — while Warriors scored 2.
Lull3:12Warriors went 3:33 without a point — Q1 1:21 to Q2 9:48 — while Clippers scored 6.
Lull3:33Warriors went on a 8–0 run over 1:49 — the deficit down to 1.
Run8–0The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 2:39 — Warriors lost that stretch by 3.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 4:16 — Clippers won that stretch by 4.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Warriors 101, Clippers 104, final.