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polling · 30 min tick · as of 1:12 AM ET · 12 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · UTA AT DEN
Our win probability · Jazz came back from a 30% chance at Q1 7:49 · the favourite changed 5 times
Final · October 4, 2026
Top scorers
L. Markkanen
17pts · 5 of 12
SUB
14pts · 6 of 13
By quarter
Jazz won by 12
Our reading, one per play
Jazz took the edge for good at 6:01 in the second quarter, after the favourite had changed 5 times.
14points
Biggest swing · Nuggets
5
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
580 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
580 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | UTADEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | UTA +10 | UTA +24 pts | |
| Q2 | UTA +1 | UTA +11 pts | |
| Q3 | Level | UTA +10 pts | |
| Q4 | UTA +1 | UTA +12 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 580 readings the river draws.
Runs · 5
Last playQ4 0:00 · UTA 109–DEN 97 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 105
One pin a scoring play — 105 scoring plays on 91 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
DEN 36 baskets, 97 pts · UTA 39 baskets, 109 pts
5 plays moved it 10 points or more — 3 of them in the third quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (14.1). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
5 runs
The Jazz led for 42 minutes and by as many as 18 — their biggest run was 25–9 in the first quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
25–9
8–011–212–48–0The game in chapters · points
The Jazz won the first quarter 36–26 — the widest chapter of the game.
UTA left, DEN right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Jazz went on a 25–9 run over 6:06 — a 12-point lead. The longest dry spell: Nuggets went 3:35 without a point — Q4 10:46 to Q4 7:11 — while Jazz scored 7.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Jazz went on a 25–9 run over 6:06 — a 12-point lead.
Run25–9Nuggets went on a 8–0 run over 2:54 — the deficit down to 4.
Run8–0Jazz went 3:05 without a point — Q1 0:32 to Q2 9:27 — while Nuggets scored 8.
Lull3:05Jazz went on a 11–2 run over 2:42 — a 11-point lead.
Run11–2The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 3:02 — Jazz level.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 3:02 — Nuggets level.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Jazz 109, Nuggets 97, final.
