Biggest swing · PHI at MIL
M. Turner 26' 3PT (14 PTS) (K. Kuzma 4 AST).
Q4, 0:15.
Bucks 106, 76ers 104 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 561 readings · Final · OT · November 20, 2025
+45to MIL
FINAL · PHI AT MIL
76ers beat the Bucks by 9 — 123–114.
Our win probability · 76ers came back from a 11% chance at Q4 0:15 · the favourite changed 37 times
Final · OT · November 20, 2025
Top scorers
T. Maxey
54pts · 18 of 30
R. Rollins
32pts · 13 of 26
By quarter
9Won by PHI
34:57PHI ledof 53:00
13Largest leadLead changes: 12
ClosedThe game is over, so the channel closed. These are the numbers at the horn.
every action, The river
J. Edwards — 23-foot 3, 4:20 left in overtime, put the 76ers ahead for goodFirst basket: George, 11:39 Q1 · last: 0:12 OTPHI 109, MIL 106
Win probability
Our reading, one per play
76ers won it by 9. The favourite changed 37 times.
100%76ers
0%Bucks
45 pointsM. Turner
All 561 beats carried a stated probability; none were dropped.
45points
Biggest swing · Bucks
37
Times the favourite changed
Where this number comes from
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
561 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 5
Last playOT 0:00 · PHI 123–MIL 114 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 118
One pin a scoring play — 118 scoring plays on 105 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
MIL 45 baskets, 114 pts · PHI 42 baskets, 123 pts
every action, Key beats
46 plays moved it 10 points or more — 30 of them in the fourth quarter.
How much a play had to move it
Every 5-point move shows 126Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (44.5). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
every possession, Runs and the clutch
Runs · the game’s tide
5 runs
The 76ers led for 35 minutes and by as many as 13 — their biggest run was 9–0 in the fourth.
- Time leading
- MIL 15:35 · PHI 34:57
- Lead changes
- 12
- Tied
- 4
- Biggest lead
- MIL 6 · PHI 13
- Pace
- —
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
8–0
15–6
10–2
9–0
10–2Clutch · last 5:00, within 5The game in chapters · points
The Bucks won the second quarter 37–22 — the widest chapter of the game.
3333 ptsQ12020 pts
2222 ptsQ23737 pts
2222 ptsQ32424 pts
2929 ptsQ42525 pts
1717 ptsOT88 pts
PHI left, MIL right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
every action, Two models
Reading the outside line.
every possession, Projection
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
overnight, What it came down to
76ers 123, Bucks 114, final.