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polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · MIA AT ATL
Our win probability · Heat came back from a 38% chance at Q1 0:20 · the favourite changed 37 times
Final · December 26, 2025
Top scorers
N. Powell
25pts · 9 of 16
T. Young
30pts · 8 of 16
By quarter
Our reading, one per play
Heat won it by 15. The favourite changed 37 times.
14points
Biggest swing · Heat
37
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
559 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 7
Last playQ4 0:00 · MIA 126–ATL 111 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 125
One pin a scoring play — 125 scoring plays on 105 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
ATL 40 baskets, 111 pts · MIA 49 baskets, 126 pts
14 plays moved it 10 points or more — 10 of them in the third quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (14.2). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
7 runs
The Heat led for 45 minutes and by as many as 17 — their biggest run was 12–0 in the second quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
8–0
10–0
9–0
13–5
12–0
15–6
10–2The game in chapters · points
The Heat won the second quarter 31–19 — the widest chapter of the game.
MIA left, ATL right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Heat 126, Hawks 111, final.
