Biggest swing · SAC at PHX
C. Gillespie 27' 3PT pullup (3 PTS).
Q2, 11:08.
Kings 35, Suns 35 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 607 readings · Final · January 2, 2026
+10to PHX
FINAL · SAC AT PHX
Suns beat the Kings by 27 — 129–102.
Our win probability · Suns came back from a 40% chance at Q1 4:04 · the favourite changed 14 times
Final · January 2, 2026
Top scorers
K. Murray
23pts · 9 of 17
D. Booker
33pts · 13 of 21
By quarter
27Won by PHX
39:18PHX ledof 48:00
28Largest leadLead changes: 8
ClosedThe game is over, so the channel closed. These are the numbers at the horn.
every action, The river
D. Brooks — driving layup, 0:56 left in the second, put the Suns ahead for goodFirst basket: Booker, 11:39 Q1 · last: 0:49 Q4PHX 57, SAC 56
Win probability
Our reading, one per play
Suns won it by 27. The favourite changed 14 times.
100%Suns
0%Kings
10 pointsC. Gillespie
All 607 beats carried a stated probability; none were dropped.
10points
Biggest swing · Suns
14
Times the favourite changed
Where this number comes from
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
607 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 6
Last playQ4 0:00 · SAC 102–PHX 129 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 129
One pin a scoring play — 129 scoring plays on 107 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
PHX 49 baskets, 129 pts · SAC 35 baskets, 102 pts
every action, Key beats
1 play moved it 10 points or more — in the second quarter.
How much a play had to move it
Every 5-point move shows 35Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (10.4). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
every possession, Runs and the clutch
Runs · the game’s tide
6 runs
The Suns led for 39 minutes and by as many as 28 — their biggest run was 22–7 in the third quarter.
- Time leading
- PHX 39:18 · SAC 6:08
- Lead changes
- 8
- Tied
- 4
- Biggest lead
- PHX 28 · SAC 6
- Pace
- —
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
13–2
10–122–7
15–7
13–4
10–0The game in chapters · points
The Suns won the fourth quarter 32–19 — the widest chapter of the game.
2929 ptsQ13232 pts
2727 ptsQ23030 pts
2727 ptsQ33535 pts
1919 ptsQ43232 pts
SAC left, PHX right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
every action, Two models
Reading the outside line.
every possession, Projection
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
overnight, What it came down to
Kings 102, Suns 129, final.