Biggest swing · MIA at SAC
B. Adebayo 3PT (17 PTS) (D. Mitchell 5 AST).
Q3, 8:42.
Heat 82, Kings 72 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 551 readings · Final · January 20, 2026
+11to MIA
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polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · MIA AT SAC
Our win probability · Heat came back from a 39% chance at Q1 10:54 · the favourite changed 7 times
Final · January 20, 2026
Top scorers

B. Adebayo Layup
25pts · 8 of 15

D. DeRozan
23pts · 6 of 12
By quarter
Our reading, one per play
Heat won it by 13. The favourite changed 7 times.
11points
Biggest swing · Heat
7
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
551 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 3
Last playQ4 0:00 · MIA 130–SAC 117 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 124
One pin a scoring play — 124 scoring plays on 112 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
SAC 44 baskets, 117 pts · MIA 47 baskets, 130 pts
5 plays moved it 10 points or more — 3 of them in the second quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (11.2). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
3 runs
The Heat led for 46 minutes and by as many as 17 — their biggest run was 23–12 in the second quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Heat won the first quarter 32–25 — the widest chapter of the game.
MIA left, SAC right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Heat 130, Kings 117, final.