Biggest swing · CHA at IND
K. Knueppel 28' 3PT (9 PTS) (C. White 2 AST).
Q1, 1:06.
Hornets 30, Pacers 30 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 550 readings · Final · February 26, 2026
+10to CHA
FINAL · CHA AT IND
Hornets beat the Pacers by 24 — 133–109.
Our win probability · Hornets came back from a 29% chance at Q1 7:56 · the favourite changed 13 times
Final · February 26, 2026
Top scorers
B. Miller
33pts · 11 of 19
A. Nembhard
20pts · 6 of 14
By quarter
24Won by CHA
37:04CHA ledof 48:00
31Largest leadLead changes: 5
ClosedThe game is over, so the channel closed. These are the numbers at the horn.
every action, The river
K. Knueppel — 28-foot 3, 10:26 left in the second, put the Hornets ahead for goodFirst basket: Toppin, 11:25 Q1 · last: 1:23 Q4CHA 39, IND 37
Win probability
Our reading, one per play
Hornets won it by 24. The favourite changed 13 times.
100%Hornets
0%Pacers
10 pointsK. Knueppel
All 550 beats carried a stated probability; none were dropped.
10points
Biggest swing · Hornets
13
Times the favourite changed
Where this number comes from
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
550 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 4
Last playQ4 0:00 · CHA 133–IND 109 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 120
One pin a scoring play — 120 scoring plays on 105 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
IND 41 baskets, 109 pts · CHA 48 baskets, 133 pts
every action, Key beats
No play moved it 10 points — a game that was never in doubt.
How much a play had to move it
Every 5-point move shows 25Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (1.0). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
every possession, Runs and the clutch
Runs · the game’s tide
4 runs
The Hornets led for 37 minutes and by as many as 31 — their biggest run was 16–0 in the second quarter.
- Time leading
- IND 8:43 · CHA 37:04
- Lead changes
- 5
- Tied
- 3
- Biggest lead
- IND 7 · CHA 31
- Pace
- —
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
14–2
10–0
16–0
15–7The game in chapters · points
The Hornets won the second quarter 36–12 — the widest chapter of the game.
3131 ptsQ13434 pts
3636 ptsQ21212 pts
4040 ptsQ33636 pts
2626 ptsQ42727 pts
CHA left, IND right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
every action, Two models
Reading the outside line.
every possession, Projection
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
overnight, What it came down to
Hornets 133, Pacers 109, final.