
Biggest swing · DEN at UTA
A. Bailey 25' 3PT (18 PTS) (E. Harkless 3 AST).
Q4, 2:43.
Jazz 120, Nuggets 118 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 529 readings · Final · March 2, 2026
+35to UTA
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polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · DEN AT UTA
Our win probability · Nuggets came back from a 12% chance at Q4 2:13 · the favourite changed 43 times
Final · March 2, 2026
Top scorers

J. Murray Free Throw
45pts · 13 of 19

K. George Free Throw
36pts · 14 of 22
By quarter
Our reading, one per play
Nuggets won it by 3. The favourite changed 43 times.
35points
Biggest swing · Jazz
43
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
529 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 5
Last playQ4 0:00 · DEN 128–UTA 125 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 138
One pin a scoring play — 138 scoring plays on 112 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
UTA 44 baskets, 125 pts · DEN 40 baskets, 128 pts
44 plays moved it 10 points or more — 28 of them in the fourth quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (35.4). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
5 runs
The Nuggets led for 29 minutes and by as many as 9 — their biggest run was 14–2 in the first quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Nuggets won the third quarter 34–26 — the widest chapter of the game.
DEN left, UTA right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Nuggets 128, Jazz 125, final.