
Biggest swing · HOU at DEN
C. Braun 31' 3PT step back (13 PTS) (A. Gordon 1 AST).
Q2, 0:02.
Nuggets 53, Rockets 47 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 544 readings · Final · March 11, 2026
+11to DEN
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polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · HOU AT DEN
Our win probability · Nuggets came back from a 44% chance at Q1 9:00 · the favourite changed 4 times
Final · March 11, 2026
Top scorers

A. Thompson
16pts · 8 of 14

J. Murray
30pts · 11 of 21
By quarter
Our reading, one per play
Nuggets won it by 36. The favourite changed 4 times.
11points
Biggest swing · Nuggets
4
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
544 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 3
Last playQ4 0:00 · HOU 93–DEN 129 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 111
One pin a scoring play — 111 scoring plays on 104 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
DEN 48 baskets, 129 pts · HOU 42 baskets, 93 pts
1 play moved it 10 points or more — in the second quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (11.3). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
3 runs
The Nuggets led for 42 minutes and by as many as 39 — their biggest run was 19–7 in the fourth.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Nuggets won the third quarter 40–22 — the widest chapter of the game.
HOU left, DEN right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Rockets 93, Nuggets 129, final.