Biggest swing · DEN at SAS
J. Murray 25' 3PT step back (29 PTS).
Q4, 4:39.
Nuggets 121, Spurs 119 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 608 readings · Final · March 12, 2026
+21to DEN
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polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · DEN AT SAS
Our win probability · Nuggets came back from a 4.8% chance at Q3 1:31 · the favourite changed 1 time
Final · March 12, 2026
Top scorers

J. Murray
39pts · 11 of 21

S. Castle Free Throw
30pts · 7 of 15
By quarter
Our reading, one per play
Nuggets won it by 5. The favourite changed once.
21points
Biggest swing · Nuggets
1
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
608 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 6
Last playQ4 0:00 · DEN 136–SAS 131 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 149
One pin a scoring play — 149 scoring plays on 120 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
SAS 43 baskets, 131 pts · DEN 44 baskets, 136 pts
14 plays moved it 10 points or more — 14 of them in the fourth quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (21.4). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
6 runs
The Spurs led for 43 minutes and by as many as 20 — the Nuggets' 14–0 in the fourth and a 42–25 fourth took it back.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Nuggets won the fourth quarter 42–25 — the widest chapter of the game.
DEN left, SAS right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Nuggets 136, Spurs 131, final.