
Biggest swing · ORL at ATL
J. Carter 24' 3PT step back (3 PTS).
Q1, 5:14.
Hawks 18, Magic 16 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 583 readings · Final · March 16, 2026
+9to ORL
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polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · ORL AT ATL
Our win probability · Hawks never fell below 51%
Final · March 16, 2026
Top scorers

D. Bane
18pts · 7 of 16

N. Alexander-Walker
41pts · 12 of 21
By quarter
Our reading, one per play
Hawks won it by 12. The favourite never changed.
9points
Biggest swing · Magic
0
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
583 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 6
Last playQ4 0:00 · ORL 112–ATL 124 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 123
One pin a scoring play — 123 scoring plays on 106 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
ATL 43 baskets, 124 pts · ORL 40 baskets, 112 pts
No play moved it 10 points — a game that was never in doubt.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (1.0). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
6 runs
The Hawks led for 45 minutes and by as many as 29 — their biggest run was 31–13 in the third quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Hawks won the first quarter 34–21 — the widest chapter of the game.
ORL left, ATL right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Magic 112, Hawks 124, final.