Biggest swing · LAL at MIA
L. Dončić 24' 3PT (55 PTS) (L. James 10 AST).
Q4, 1:59.
Lakers 124, Heat 117 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 560 readings · Final · March 19, 2026
+18to LAL
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polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · LAL AT MIA
Our win probability · Lakers came back from a 14% chance at Q2 11:19 · the favourite changed 11 times
Final · March 19, 2026
Top scorers

L. Don
60pts · 18 of 30

B. Adebayo Free Throw
28pts · 9 of 19
By quarter
Our reading, one per play
Lakers won it by 8. The favourite changed 11 times.
18points
Biggest swing · Lakers
11
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
560 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 3
Last playQ4 0:00 · LAL 134–MIA 126 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 143
One pin a scoring play — 143 scoring plays on 121 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
MIA 48 baskets, 126 pts · LAL 43 baskets, 134 pts
18 plays moved it 10 points or more — 11 of them in the fourth quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (17.6). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
3 runs
The Heat led for 27 minutes and by as many as 15 — the Lakers' 17–3 in the third quarter took it back.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Lakers won the third quarter 38–23 — the widest chapter of the game.
LAL left, MIA right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Lakers 134, Heat 126, final.