Biggest swing · MIA at HOU
A. Thompson tip Layup (24 PTS).
Q4, 0:00.
Rockets 123, Heat 122 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 529 readings · Final · March 21, 2026
+100to HOU
Game Center
polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
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polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · MIA AT HOU
Our win probability · Rockets came back from a under 1% chance at Q4 0:00 · the favourite changed 30 times
Final · March 21, 2026
Top scorers
B. Adebayo
32pts · 12 of 21
K. Durant REBOUND
27pts · 9 of 17
By quarter
Our reading, one per play
Rockets won it by 1. The favourite changed 30 times.
100points
Biggest swing · Rockets
30
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
529 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 6
Last playQ4 0:00 · MIA 122–HOU 123 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 121
One pin a scoring play — 121 scoring plays on 107 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
HOU 45 baskets, 123 pts · MIA 47 baskets, 122 pts
41 plays moved it 10 points or more — 27 of them in the fourth quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (100.0). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
6 runs
The Rockets led for 26 minutes and by as many as 8 — their biggest run was 26–7 in the fourth.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
8–0
23–326–9
14–4
26–710–2Clutch · last 5:00, within 5The game in chapters · points
The Heat won the third quarter 33–23 — the widest chapter of the game.
MIA left, HOU right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Heat 122, Rockets 123, final.