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polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · MIA AT CLE
Our win probability · Heat came back from a 34% chance at Q4 9:30 · the favourite changed 13 times
Final · March 25, 2026
Top scorers
N. Powell
19pts · 7 of 12
D. Mitchell REBOUND
28pts · 12 of 22
By quarter
Our reading, one per play
Heat won it by 17. The favourite changed 13 times.
22points
Biggest swing · Heat
13
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
513 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 5
Last playQ4 0:00 · MIA 120–CLE 103 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 116
One pin a scoring play — 116 scoring plays on 95 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
CLE 35 baskets, 103 pts · MIA 42 baskets, 120 pts
12 plays moved it 10 points or more — 8 of them in the fourth quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (21.7). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
5 runs
The Heat led for 45 minutes and by as many as 21 — their biggest run was 17–3 in the fourth.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
8–0
16–4
10–0
16–5
17–3The game in chapters · points
The Cavaliers won the third quarter 37–20 — the widest chapter of the game.
MIA left, CLE right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Heat 120, Cavaliers 103, final.
