Biggest swing · MIA at CLE
M. Strus 31' 3PT (3 PTS) (J. Harden 4 AST).
Q1, 4:37.
Cavaliers 24, Heat 14 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 586 readings · Final · March 27, 2026
+7to CLE
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polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · MIA AT CLE
Our win probability · Cavaliers never fell below 56%
Final · March 27, 2026
Top scorers

SUB
20pts · 9 of 13

SUB
29pts · 10 of 14
By quarter
Our reading, one per play
Cavaliers won it by 21. The favourite never changed.
8points
Biggest swing · Cavaliers
0
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
586 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 7
Last playQ4 0:00 · MIA 128–CLE 149 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 151
One pin a scoring play — 151 scoring plays on 124 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
CLE 52 baskets, 149 pts · MIA 40 baskets, 128 pts
No play moved it 10 points — a game that was never in doubt.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (1.0). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
7 runs
The Cavaliers led for 48 minutes and by as many as 36 — their biggest run was 33–8 in the second quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Cavaliers won the second quarter 41–19 — the widest chapter of the game.
MIA left, CLE right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Heat 128, Cavaliers 149, final.