
Biggest swing · ATL at MIA
C. Kispert 25' 3PT (18 PTS) (T. Bradley 1 AST).
Q3, 10:32.
Heat 73, Hawks 67 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 531 readings · Final · April 12, 2026
+10to ATL
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polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · ATL AT MIA
Our win probability · Heat never fell below 55%
Final · April 12, 2026
Top scorers

SUB
31pts · 12 of 18

SUB
26pts · 12 of 17
By quarter
Our reading, one per play
Heat won it by 26. The favourite never changed.
10points
Biggest swing · Hawks
0
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
531 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 6
Last playQ4 0:00 · ATL 117–MIA 143 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 126
One pin a scoring play — 126 scoring plays on 114 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
MIA 58 baskets, 143 pts · ATL 44 baskets, 117 pts
No play moved it 10 points — a game that was never in doubt.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (1.0). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
6 runs
The Heat led for 47 minutes and by as many as 26 — their biggest run was 18–6 in the fourth.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Heat won the fourth quarter 44–33 — the widest chapter of the game.
ATL left, MIA right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Hawks 117, Heat 143, final.