
Biggest swing · DEN at SAS
B. Brown 12' driving floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (J. Pickett 4 AST).
Q4, 10:57.
Nuggets 103, Spurs 95 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 557 readings · Final · April 12, 2026
+11to DEN
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polling · 30 min tick · no answer yet · 1 final
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · DEN AT SAS
Our win probability · Nuggets came back from a 33% chance at Q1 10:23 · the favourite changed 19 times
Final · April 12, 2026
Top scorers

J. Strawther
25pts · 9 of 19

D. Fox
24pts · 8 of 21
By quarter
Our reading, one per play
Nuggets won it by 10. The favourite changed 19 times.
11points
Biggest swing · Nuggets
19
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
557 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 6
Last playQ4 0:00 · DEN 128–SAS 118 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 125
One pin a scoring play — 125 scoring plays on 111 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
SAS 45 baskets, 118 pts · DEN 50 baskets, 128 pts
5 plays moved it 10 points or more — 2 of them in the third quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (10.9). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
6 runs
The Nuggets led for 43 minutes and by as many as 23 — their biggest run was 22–0 in the second quarter.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
The game in chapters · points
The Nuggets won the second quarter 33–22 — the widest chapter of the game.
DEN left, SAS right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Nuggets 128, Spurs 118, final.