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live · 20s tick · as of 7:55 PM ET · 10s ago · 1 live · 1 to play
Latest play: Game End. Every play as it lands, pushed on the live channel — the ribbon under the score says which transport is carrying this page.
Tonight’s room
Opening this game — the score, the clock and the win probability land together.
FINAL · MIL AT WAS
Our win probability · Wizards came back from a 25% chance at Q3 6:04 · the favourite changed 46 times
Final · October 21, 2026
Top scorers
T. Herro
24pts · 9 of 21
A. Davis
34pts · 11 of 20
By quarter
Wizards won by 12
Our reading, one per play
Wizards took the edge for good at 9:49 in the fourth quarter, after the favourite had changed 46 times.
17points
Biggest swing · Bucks
46
Times the favourite changed
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
635 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Quarter flow
635 readings
| Quarter | Score | Win chance | MILWAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | WAS +2 | WAS +5 pts | |
| Q2 | MIL +7 | MIL +24 pts | |
| Q3 | WAS +2 | WAS +5 pts | |
| Q4 | WAS +15 | WAS +58 pts |
Each bar is one quarter’s margin, drawn toward the club that won it; Win chance is how many points of win chance our reading moved toward that crest across the quarter (the first from the tip), read off the 635 readings the river draws.
Runs · 3
Last playQ4 0:00 · MIL 116–WAS 128 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 137
One pin a scoring play — 137 scoring plays on 111 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
WAS 45 baskets, 128 pts · MIL 41 baskets, 116 pts
16 plays moved it 10 points or more — 10 of them in the third quarter.
Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (17.2). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
Runs · the game’s tide
3 runs
The Bucks led for 25 minutes and by as many as 8 — the Wizards' 21–2 in the fourth and a 38–23 fourth took it back.
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
15–5
11–221–2The game in chapters · points
The Wizards won the fourth quarter 38–23 — the widest chapter of the game.
MIL left, WAS right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
Wizards went on a 21–2 run over 4:13 — a 13-point lead. The longest dry spell: Bucks went 3:34 without a point — Q4 10:08 to Q4 6:34 — while Wizards scored 14.
Lulls — three game minutes or more without a point, on the band’s clock
Wizards went on a 15–5 run over 3:32 — a 5-point lead.
Run15–5Bucks went on a 11–2 run over 2:47 — a 5-point lead.
Run11–2Wizards went on a 21–2 run over 4:13 — a 13-point lead.
Run21–2Bucks went 3:34 without a point — Q4 10:08 to Q4 6:34 — while Wizards scored 14.
Lull3:34The fives that closed it
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 0:38 — Bucks level.
A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file · A player not named on file
Closed the game together from Q4 0:48 — Wizards level.
Every stint, on and off
Each stint is painted by the score while he was on: emerald won those minutes, red lost them. On is the club’s margin while he was on the floor in this window; off is its margin while he sat; the last column is the gap between them. The underline marks the widest gap of ten points or more by a player on for at least half the window.
Reading the outside line.
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
Reading tonight’s bands.
Bucks 116, Wizards 128, final.
