Biggest swing · ATL at NYK
K. Towns 25' 3PT (3 PTS) (J. Brunson 2 AST).
Q1, 5:30.
Knicks 15, Hawks 11 · Final
11 beats before it
Our win probability · 578 readings · Final · April 28, 2026
+9to NYK
FINAL · ATL AT NYK
Knicks beat the Hawks by 29 — 126–97.
Our win probability · Knicks never fell below 51%
Final · April 28, 2026
Top scorers
J. Johnson
18pts · 7 of 15
J. Brunson
39pts · 15 of 23
By quarter
29Won by NYK
44:51NYK ledof 48:00
32Largest leadLead changes: 1
ClosedThe game is over, so the channel closed. These are the numbers at the horn.
every action, The river
J. Hart — 25-foot step back 3, 8:41 left in the first, put the Knicks ahead for goodFirst basket: Daniels, 11:22 Q1 · last: 0:11 Q4NYK 9, ATL 6
Win probability
Our reading, one per play
Knicks won it by 29. The favourite never changed.
100%Knicks
0%Hawks
9 pointsK. Towns
All 578 beats carried a stated probability; none were dropped.
9points
Biggest swing · Knicks
0
Times the favourite changed
Where this number comes from
Even money is the hairline. This reading is ours, and it looks at three things: the margin, the clock, and who has the ball. It does not know who is playing, who is hurt or how good either side is, which is why it starts at the tip and why it can disagree with a number that does. The ball is carried forward from the plays that state a change of possession; every other play holds the last known value.
578 readings, one a play from the tip to the horn.
Runs · 5
Last playQ4 0:00 · ATL 97–NYK 126 · End, game · held
Scoring plays · 117
One pin a scoring play — 117 scoring plays on 99 scoring trips as the game clock groups them, because a basket and the free throw it earned are two plays and one trip. The game's own trip record is not on this read, so the trip number is the clock's grouping and can run high.
NYK 45 baskets, 126 pts · ATL 37 baskets, 97 pts
every action, Key beats
No play moved it 10 points — a game that was never in doubt.
How much a play had to move it
Every 5-point move shows 13Our win probability, in points: each bar points toward the club the play helped and runs as long as the play moved it against the game’s largest move (1.0). A tap puts the river’s head on it.
every possession, Runs and the clutch
Runs · the game’s tide
5 runs
The Knicks led for 45 minutes and by as many as 32 — their biggest run was 20–7 in the second quarter.
- Time leading
- NYK 44:51 · ATL 1:04
- Lead changes
- 1
- Tied
- 4
- Biggest lead
- NYK 32 · ATL 2
- Pace
- —
— The trips were not read for this game, so there is no pace to state.
20–7
8–0
11–312–0
10–0The game in chapters · points
The Knicks won the first quarter 35–22 — the widest chapter of the game.
2222 ptsQ13535 pts
2626 ptsQ22929 pts
2424 ptsQ32626 pts
2525 ptsQ43636 pts
ATL left, NYK right — the trips were not read, so the points stand without a rate.
every action, Two models
Reading the outside line.
every possession, Projection
The live projection retired at the horn, and no pregame projection is kept for a game. Reading the league's zone rates to price the shots.
overnight, What it came down to
Hawks 97, Knicks 126, final.