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2010 Week 4 · Sun, Oct 3, 2010 · Ralph Wilson Stadium

New York JetsWinner

38

Buffalo Bills

14

NYJ -5.5 ✓O 36.5 ✓16 mph wind

New York Jets 38–14 — never really in doubt late. Played in 16 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYJ

Mark SanchezQB

14/24, 161 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

6.4 expected points added · +1.5% completion over expected

Passing · BUF

Ryan FitzpatrickQB

12/27, 128 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

-9.5 expected points added · -10.7% completion over expected

Rushing · NYJ

LaDainian TomlinsonRB

19 att, 133 yds, 2 TD

8.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYJ

Shonn GreeneRB

22 att, 117 yds, 0 TD

1.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYJ

Braylon EdwardsWR

4/7 for 86 yds, 1 TD

28% of team targets · 6.3 expected points added

Receiving · BUF

David NelsonWR

4/4 for 75 yds, 0 TD

15% of team targets · 4.0 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Jets

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Mark Sanchez14/241612006.4
Mark Brunell1/170001.1
Brad Smith1/131002.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
LaDainian Tomlinson191337.028.4
Shonn Greene221175.301.6
Joe McKnight4123.00-1.0
Brad Smith3113.700.2
Mark Sanchez100.00-1.2

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Braylon Edwards4786128%6.3
Dustin Keller4628224%3.5
Jerricho Cotchery3526020%1.3
LaDainian Tomlinson3422016%1.3
Ben Hartsock12708%0.5
John Conner11204%-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jim Leonhard400.000
David Harris120.000
Dwight Lowery301.000
Brodney Pool120.000
Eric Smith200.000
Drew Coleman200.001
Marquice Cole200.000
James Ihedigbo201.000
Kyle Wilson200.000
Shaun Ellis201.000

Buffalo Bills

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Ryan Fitzpatrick12/27128203-9.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Ryan Fitzpatrick77410.601.6
Fred Jackson3217.002.6
C.J. Spiller2115.500.3
Marshawn Lynch482.00-5.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
David Nelson4475015%4.0
Steve Johnson3731126%0.3
Roscoe Parrish147015%-2.3
Lee Evans166022%-5.3
C.J. Spiller12407%-2.2
David Martin11414%1.6
Corey McIntyre11104%-0.5
Fred Jackson02007%-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Paul Posluszny640.000
Donte Whitner540.000
Dwan Edwards270.000
Jairus Byrd240.000
Spencer Johnson230.001
Leodis McKelvin220.002
Steve Johnson110.000
Corey McIntyre200.000
Kyle Williams200.000
Drayton Florence110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NYJ -5.5
Closing total
36.5
NYJ moneyline
-235
BUF moneyline
+210

Jets closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 24.

Total closed 36.5; the game landed 52 — over by 15.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ralph Wilson Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · astroplay
Kickoff weather
51°F, wind 16 mph
Referee
Bill Leavy
Rest
NYJ 7 days · BUF 7 days
Coaches
Rex Ryan vs Chan Gailey

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 16 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.