2013 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 29, 2013 · Ralph Wilson Stadium

Baltimore Ravens

Buffalo BillsWinner

BAL -4 upsetU 45 ✓15 mph windRavens closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Buffalo Bills 23–20 — decided on the final possessions. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BAL

Joe FlaccoQB

25/50, 347 yds, 2 TD, 5 INT

-14.1 expected points added · -4.8% completion over expected

Passing · BUF

EJ ManuelQB

10/22, 167 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-7.6 expected points added · -8.1% completion over expected

Rushing · BUF

Fred JacksonRB

16 att, 87 yds, 1 TD

0.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

C.J. SpillerRB

23 att, 77 yds, 0 TD

-4.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · BAL

Torrey SmithWR

5/12 for 166 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 6.6 expected points added

Receiving · BUF

Robert WoodsWR

4/8 for 80 yds, 1 TD

36% of team targets · 2.6 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Flacco	25/50	347	2	5	4	-14.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Ray Rice	5	17	3.4	0	-0.8
Bernard Pierce	4	7	1.8	0	-1.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Torrey Smith	5	12	166	1	24%	6.6
Deonte Thompson	4	4	50	0	8%	3.1
Tandon Doss	4	9	47	0	18%	-5.3
Marlon Brown	4	8	34	1	16%	-3.6
Dallas Clark	4	9	34	0	18%	-3.1
Ed Dickson	2	3	12	0	6%	-3.9
Bernard Pierce	1	1	2	0	2%	-0.4
Vonta Leach	1	2	2	0	4%	-0.8
Ray Rice	0	1	0	0	2%	-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Terrell Suggs	3	8	1.0	0	0
Daryl Smith	2	8	0.0	1	1
James Ihedigbo	5	2	0.0	0	0
Corey Graham	4	2	0.0	1	1
Matt Elam	4	0	0.0	0	0
Chris Canty	2	2	1.0	0	0
Arthur Jones	1	2	0.0	0	0
Jimmy Smith	2	1	0.0	0	0
Michael Huff	2	1	0.0	0	0
Marlon Brown	2	0	0.0	0	0

Buffalo Bills

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
EJ Manuel	10/22	167	1	2	2	-7.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Fred Jackson	16	87	5.4	1	0.4
C.J. Spiller	23	77	3.3	0	-4.6
Trevor Graham	1	14	14.0	0	0.9
Robert Woods	1	13	13.0	0	0.9
Tashard Choice	3	11	3.7	0	-0.0
EJ Manuel	11	1	0.1	0	-1.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Robert Woods	4	8	80	1	36%	2.6
Trevor Graham	2	3	32	0	14%	1.5
Lee Smith	1	2	28	0	9%	1.4
Scott Chandler	2	3	28	0	14%	3.2
Steve Johnson	1	6	-1	0	27%	-9.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Justin Rogers	5	2	0.0	0	1
Da'Norris Searcy	6	0	0.0	0	4
Marcell Dareus	3	2	2.0	0	0
Nigel Bradham	1	4	0.0	0	0
Kiko Alonso	1	3	0.0	2	2
Jim Leonhard	3	1	0.0	1	2
Manny Lawson	4	0	1.0	0	0
Robert Woods	2	0	0.0	0	0
Aaron Williams	2	0	0.0	2	4
Brandon Burton	0	2	0.0	0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BAL -4
Closing total: 45
BAL moneyline: -195
BUF moneyline: +175

Ravens closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 45; the game landed 43 — under by 2.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Ralph Wilson Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · a turf
Kickoff weather: 67°F, wind 15 mph
Referee: Jerome Boger
Rest: BAL 7 days · BUF 7 days
Coaches: John Harbaugh vs Doug Marrone

Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.