2016 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 20, 2016 · Paul Brown Stadium

Buffalo BillsWinner

Cincinnati Bengals

CIN -2.5 upsetU 48 ✓Bengals closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Buffalo Bills 16–12.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CIN

Andy DaltonQB

24/43, 207 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-9.8 expected points added · -5.3% completion over expected

Passing · BUF

Tyrod TaylorQB

19/27, 166 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-5.2 expected points added · +5.7% completion over expected

Rushing · BUF

Mike GillisleeRB

14 att, 72 yds, 0 TD

1.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CIN

Jeremy HillRB

16 att, 62 yds, 0 TD

-0.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CIN

Tyler BoydWR

6/8 for 54 yds, 1 TD

20% of team targets · 4.8 expected points added

Receiving · BUF

Brandon TateWR

2/3 for 48 yds, 0 TD

11% of team targets · 2.3 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Tyrod Taylor	19/27	166	0	1	2	-5.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Mike Gillislee	14	72	5.1	0	1.9
Tyrod Taylor	9	39	4.3	0	-1.0
LeSean McCoy	5	33	6.6	1	1.8
Jonathan Williams	4	26	6.5	0	0.7
Percy Harvin	1	11	11.0	0	0.7
Jerome Felton	1	2	2.0	0	0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Brandon Tate	2	3	48	11%	2.3
Robert Woods	3	3	41	11%	3.8
Charles Clay	5	7	23	26%	-2.5
Reggie Bush	2	2	21	7%	2.1
Marquise Goodwin	2	3	15	11%	-2.4
LeSean McCoy	2	3	12	11%	-0.4
Percy Harvin	2	4	6	15%	-2.5
Mike Gillislee	0	1	0	4%	-1.9
Jonathan Williams	1	1	0	4%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Zach Brown	8	4	0.0	0	0
Stephon Gilmore	5	1	0.0	2	3
Corey Graham	4	2	0.0	0	1
Lorenzo Alexander	2	3	0.0	0	0
Preston Brown	3	1	0.0	0	1
Ronald Darby	2	2	0.0	0	1
Kyle Williams	3	1	0.0	0	0
Marcell Dareus	2	2	0.5	0	1
Nickell Robey	2	1	0.0	0	1
Jonathan Meeks	2	0	0.0	0	0

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Andy Dalton	24/43	207	1	2	1	-9.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jeremy Hill	16	62	3.9	0	-0.2
Giovani Bernard	7	21	3.0	0	-0.8
Andy Dalton	4	10	2.5	1	1.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Boyd	6	8	54	1	20%	4.8
Giovani Bernard	5	8	40	0	20%	-0.9
Tyler Eifert	3	6	37	0	15%	-2.2
Brandon LaFell	4	9	32	0	23%	-10.5
James Wright	2	3	22	0	8%	1.7
Rex Burkhead	1	1	14	0	3%	0.8
Alex Erickson	1	2	7	0	5%	-0.1
Jeremy Hill	2	2	1	0	5%	-1.2
A.J. Green	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Vontaze Burfict	11	2	1.0	0	0
Vincent Rey	5	4	0.0	0	0
Karlos Dansby	4	5	0.0	0	0
Darqueze Dennard	5	1	0.0	0	0
Adam Jones	4	1	0.0	0	1
Michael Johnson	3	2	0.5	0	1
Carlos Dunlap	1	2	0.5	0	0
Josh Shaw	2	1	0.0	0	0
Rex Burkhead	1	1	0.0	0	0
Dre Kirkpatrick	1	1	0.0	1	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CIN -2.5
Closing total: 48
BUF moneyline: +123
CIN moneyline: -136

Bengals closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 48; the game landed 28 — under by 20.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Paul Brown Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 36°F, wind 8 mph
Referee: Terry McAulay
Rest: BUF 13 days · CIN 6 days
Coaches: Rex Ryan vs Marvin Lewis