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2018 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 9, 2018 · AT&T Stadium
23
29
Dallas Cowboys 29–23. Biggest swing: Q4 3:12, DAL +28% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(3:12) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 19-A.Cooper for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Eagles | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 48 | 93 |
| Total yards | 256 | 576 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.3 | 6.2 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.06 | 0.06 (edge) |
| Success rate | 48% | 49% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 75% | 61% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.08 | 0.22 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.49 | -0.18 (edge) |
| Third downs | 1/9 | 9/18 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 13 | 30 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 3 |
Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.06 expected points added per play vs -0.06.
Who moved the needle
Passing · DAL
42/54, 455 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT
12.3 expected points added · +11.2% completion over expected
Passing · PHI
22/32, 228 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
5.1 expected points added · +1.3% completion over expected
Receiving · DAL
10/13 for 217 yds, 3 TD
25% of team targets · 14.2 expected points added
Receiving · DAL
12/13 for 79 yds, 0 TD
25% of team targets · 1.0 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | DAL 18 | 5 | 4 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 2 | PHI | PHI 15 | 8 | 36 | 4:04 | Punt | |
| 3 | DAL | DAL 10 | 13 | 55 | 6:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | PHI | PHI 36 | 5 | -1 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 5 | DAL | DAL 8 | 10 | 69 | 5:40 | Interception | |
| 6 | PHI | PHI 18 | 4 | 8 | 2:13 | Punt | |
| 7 | DAL | DAL 21 | 10 | 77 | 6:11 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | PHI | PHI 35 | 4 | 27 | 0:56 | Fumble | |
| 9 | DAL | DAL 38 | 7 | 28 | 0:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | PHI | PHI 25 | 5 | 1 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 11 | DAL | DAL 46 | 9 | 51 | 4:26 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | PHI | PHI 25 | 7 | 19 | 2:03 | Punt | |
| 13 | DAL | DAL 14 | 2 | -5 | 0:48 | Interception | |
| 14 | PHI | DAL 2 | 2 | 2 | 0:04 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | DAL | DAL 25 | 9 | 24 | 4:00 | Fumble | |
| 16 | PHI | PHI 45 | 10 | 48 | 4:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | DAL | DAL 25 | 11 | 90 | 4:25 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | PHI | PHI 25 | 5 | 4 | 1:36 | Punt | |
| 19 | DAL | DAL 21 | 4 | -4 | 0:45 | Punt | |
| 20 | PHI | DAL 47 | 5 | 47 | 2:13 | Touchdown | |
| 21 | DAL | DAL 25 | 3 | 75 | 0:11 | Touchdown | |
| 22 | PHI | PHI 25 | 8 | 65 | 1:22 | Touchdown | |
| 23 | DAL | DAL 18 | 10 | 27 | 1:39 | Turnover on downs | |
| 24 | DAL | DAL 25 | 14 | 85 | 8:05 | Touchdown |
0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 90 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Wentz | 22/32 | 228 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Adams | 7 | 36 | 5.1 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Wendell Smallwood | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Darren Sproles | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Carson Wentz | 4 | -3 | -0.8 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Corey Clement | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alshon Jeffery | 6 | 9 | 50 | 1 | 28% | 0.6 |
| Nelson Agholor | 2 | 3 | 49 | 0 | 9% | 2.6 |
| Dallas Goedert | 4 | 5 | 44 | 1 | 16% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Bradham | 7 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Corey Graham | 7 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Malcolm Jenkins | 9 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rasul Douglas |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | 42/54 | 455 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezekiel Elliott | 28 | 113 | 4.0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Cowboys closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 6.
Total closed 46; the game landed 52 — over by 6.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 2.9 |
| Zach Ertz | 5 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 25% | -0.6 |
| Darren Sproles | 3 | 3 | 34 | 1 | 9% | 6.3 |
| Golden Tate | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 9% | -1.0 |
| Jordan Matthews | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3% | 0.1 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0.0 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Kamu Grugier-Hill | 4 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Bennett | 5 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Gerry | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cre'von LeBlanc | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sidney Jones | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tre Sullivan | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -3.1 |
| Rod Smith | 4 | 27 | 6.8 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Dak Prescott | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Cooper | 10 | 13 | 217 | 3 | 25% | 14.2 |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 12 | 13 | 79 | 0 | 25% | 1.0 |
| Blake Jarwin | 7 | 7 | 56 | 0 | 13% | 4.7 |
| Dalton Schultz | 3 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 6% | 2.5 |
| Michael Gallup | 4 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 17% | -6.0 |
| Cole Beasley | 2 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 8% | 2.0 |
| Rod Smith | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 4% | 1.2 |
| Allen Hurns | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2% | 0.4 |
| Rico Gathers | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2% | -0.8 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylon Smith | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leighton Vander Esch | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chidobe Awuzie | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Demarcus Lawrence | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Woods | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeff Heath | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Damien Wilson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Byron Jones | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antwaun Woods | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dak Prescott | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
