2018 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 9, 2018 · AT&T Stadium

Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas CowboysWinner

DAL -3.5 ✓O 46 ✓DomeCowboys closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 6.

Dallas Cowboys 29–23. Biggest swing: Q4 3:12, DAL +28% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 3:12PHI — DAL DAL ball · 1st & 10DAL 60%

(3:12) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 19-A.Cooper for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 3:12DAL +28% win prob(3:12) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 19-A.Cooper for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
OT · 6:31DAL +22% win prob(6:31) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 19-A.Cooper ran ob at PHI 28 for 12 yards (24-C.Graham).
Q4 · 0:21PHI +21% win prob(:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott Aborted. 73-J.Looney FUMBLES at PHI 47, recovered by DAL-4-D.Prescott at PHI 47. 4-D.Prescott to PHI 47 for no gain (27-M.Jenkins).
OT · 2:00DAL +18% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-A.Cooper for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Ball caught at the 7 yard line after deflection by Rasul Douglas

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Cowboys
Offensive plays	48	93
Total yards	256	576 (edge)
Yards per play	5.3	6.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.06	0.06 (edge)
Success rate	48%	49% (edge)
Dropback rate	75%	61%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.08	0.22 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.49	-0.18 (edge)
Third downs	1/9	9/18 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	13	30 (edge)
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	3
Turnovers	1 (edge)	3

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.06 expected points added per play vs -0.06.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

42/54, 455 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT

12.3 expected points added · +11.2% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Carson WentzQB

22/32, 228 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

5.1 expected points added · +1.3% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

28 att, 113 yds, 0 TD

-3.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Josh AdamsRB

7 att, 36 yds, 0 TD

-0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

Amari CooperWR

10/13 for 217 yds, 3 TD

25% of team targets · 14.2 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

12/13 for 79 yds, 0 TD

25% of team targets · 1.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 18	5	4	1:33	Punt
2	PHI	PHI 15	8	36	4:04	Punt
3	DAL	DAL 10	13	55	6:58	Turnover on downs
4	PHI	PHI 36	5	-1	1:33	Punt
5	DAL	DAL 8	10	69	5:40	Interception
6	PHI	PHI 18	4	8	2:13	Punt
7	DAL	DAL 21	10	77	6:11	Turnover on downs
8	PHI	PHI 35	4	27	0:56	Fumble
9	DAL	DAL 38	7	28	0:52	Turnover on downs
10	PHI	PHI 25	5	1	1:35	Punt
11	DAL	DAL 46	9	51	4:26	Turnover on downs
12	PHI	PHI 25	7	19	2:03	Punt
13	DAL	DAL 14	2	-5	0:48	Interception
14	PHI	DAL 2	2	2	0:04	Touchdown
15	DAL	DAL 25	9	24	4:00	Fumble
16	PHI	PHI 45	10	48	4:53	Turnover on downs
17	DAL	DAL 25	11	90	4:25	Touchdown
18	PHI	PHI 25	5	4	1:36	Punt
19	DAL	DAL 21	4	-4	0:45	Punt
20	PHI	DAL 47	5	47	2:13	Touchdown
21	DAL	DAL 25	3	75	0:11	Touchdown
22	PHI	PHI 25	8	65	1:22	Touchdown
23	DAL	DAL 18	10	27	1:39	Turnover on downs
24	DAL	DAL 25	14	85	8:05	Touchdown

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 90 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	22/32	228	3	0	2	5.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Josh Adams	7	36	5.1	-0.7
Wendell Smallwood	1	3	3.0	-0.4
Darren Sproles	1	2	2.0	-0.5
Carson Wentz	4	-3	-0.8	-5.2
Corey Clement	1	-4	-4.0	-1.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Alshon Jeffery	6	9	50	1	28%	0.6
Nelson Agholor	2	3	49	0	9%	2.6
Dallas Goedert	4	5	44	1	16%	2.9
Zach Ertz	5	8	38	0	25%	-0.6
Darren Sproles	3	3	34	1	9%	6.3
Golden Tate	1	3	7	0	9%	-1.0
Jordan Matthews	1	1	6	0	3%	0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Nigel Bradham	7	7	0.0	0	0
Corey Graham	7	4	0.0	1	1
Malcolm Jenkins	9	1	0.0	0	0
Rasul Douglas	9	0	0.0	1	1
Kamu Grugier-Hill	4	5	0.0	0	0
Michael Bennett	5	2	1.5	0	0
Nathan Gerry	3	3	0.0	0	0
Cre'von LeBlanc	3	1	0.0	0	0
Sidney Jones	3	1	0.0	0	1
Tre Sullivan	3	1	0.0	0	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	42/54	455	3	2	3	12.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	28	113	4.0	-3.1
Rod Smith	4	27	6.8	0.6
Dak Prescott	4	2	0.5	-4.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Amari Cooper	10	13	217	3	25%	14.2
Ezekiel Elliott	12	13	79	0	25%	1.0
Blake Jarwin	7	7	56	0	13%	4.7
Dalton Schultz	3	3	37	0	6%	2.5
Michael Gallup	4	9	24	0	17%	-6.0
Cole Beasley	2	4	18	0	8%	2.0
Rod Smith	2	2	16	0	4%	1.2
Allen Hurns	1	1	9	0	2%	0.4
Rico Gathers	1	1	-1	0	2%	-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Jaylon Smith	5	4	0
Leighton Vander Esch	4	2	0
Chidobe Awuzie	3	1	1
Demarcus Lawrence	3	1	0
Xavier Woods	2	1	0
Jeff Heath	3	0	0
Damien Wilson	3	0	0
Byron Jones	2	0	0
Antwaun Woods	1	1	0
Dak Prescott	1	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -3.5
Closing total: 46
PHI moneyline: +166
DAL moneyline: -185

Cowboys closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 6.

Total closed 46; the game landed 52 — over by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Clete Blakeman
Rest: PHI 6 days · DAL 10 days
Coaches: Doug Pederson vs Jason Garrett

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.