2018 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 9, 2018 · Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum

Pittsburgh Steelers

Oakland RaidersWinner

PIT -10.5 upsetU 51 ✓Steelers closed -10.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Oakland Raiders 24–21 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:05, PIT +59% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:05PIT — OAK PIT ball · 1st & 10PIT 59%

(:05) 9-C.Boswell 40 yard field goal is No Good, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:05PIT +59% win prob(:05) 9-C.Boswell 40 yard field goal is No Good, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.
Q4 · 0:25OAK +50% win prob(:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 85-D.Carrier for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LV-76-J.Feliciano was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
Q4 · 0:15OAK +41% win prob(:15) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 13-J.Washington to PIT 35 for 5 yards. Lateral to 19-J.Smith-Schuster ran ob at LV 22 for 43 yards (42-K.Joseph).
Q4 · 1:59OAK +20% win prob(1:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 10-S.Roberts to PIT 7 for 39 yards (34-Te.Edmunds).

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PIT

Ben RoethlisbergerQB

25/29, 282 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

21.6 expected points added · +18.6% completion over expected

Passing · PIT

Joshua DobbsQB

4/9, 24 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-10.9 expected points added · -23.0% completion over expected

Rushing · PIT

Jaylen SamuelsRB

11 att, 28 yds, 0 TD

-2.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PIT

Stevan RidleyRB

5 att, 4 yds, 1 TD

-1.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PIT

JuJu Smith-SchusterWR

8/12 for 130 yds, 2 TD

32% of team targets · 7.3 expected points added

Receiving · PIT

Jaylen SamuelsRB

7/7 for 64 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · 3.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LV	LV 26	10	74	4:16	Touchdown
2	PIT	PIT 25	8	20	3:04	Punt
3	LV	LV 10	6	14	3:52	Punt
4	PIT	PIT 33	12	67	6:30	Touchdown
5	LV	LV 28	11	46	4:14	Turnover on downs
6	PIT	PIT 25	9	24	3:35	Turnover on downs
7	LV	LV 29	4	-4	1:32	Punt
8	PIT	PIT 47	10	53	2:47	Touchdown
9	LV	LV 25	2	0	0:10	End of half
10	PIT	PIT 25	7	19	2:26	Punt
11	LV	LV 14	6	16	3:16	Punt
12	PIT	PIT 37	5	21	2:34	Turnover on downs
13	LV	LV 42	7	56	4:20	Fumble
14	PIT	PIT 16	5	12	2:12	Interception
15	LV	PIT 44	4	0	0:32	Punt
16	PIT	PIT 32	4	6	1:30	Punt
17	LV	LV 27	15	78	7:50	Touchdown
18	PIT	PIT 25	8	70	2:25	Touchdown
19	LV	LV 25	10	75	2:34	Touchdown
20	PIT	PIT 30	3	48	0:21	Turnover on downs

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Raiders gained 78 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ben Roethlisberger	25/29	282	2	0	1	21.6
Joshua Dobbs	4/9	24	0	1	0	-10.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jaylen Samuels	11	28	2.5	0	-2.5
Joshua Dobbs	2	15	7.5	0	3.7
Stevan Ridley	5	4	0.8	1	-1.6
Darrius Heyward-Bey	1	-7	-7.0	0	-2.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
JuJu Smith-Schuster	8	12	130	2	32%	7.3
Jaylen Samuels	7	7	64	0	19%	3.4
Vance McDonald	4	4	37	0	11%	1.5
Antonio Brown	5	7	35	0	19%	-1.8
Jesse James	2	2	28	0	5%	2.1
James Washington	2	4	11	0	11%	0.5
Ryan Switzer	1	1	1	0	3%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Mike Hilton	6	2	1.0	0
Terrell Edmunds	4	3	0.0	0
Joe Haden	3	3	0.0	0
Sean Davis	3	2	0.0	0
Cameron Heyward	3	2	0.0	0
Bud Dupree	2	2	1.0	0
T.J. Watt	2	2	0.0	1
L.J. Fort	3	1	0.0	0
Coty Sensabaugh	4	0	0.0	0
Stephon Tuitt	2	1	1.0	1

Oakland Raiders

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PIT -10.5
Closing total: 51
PIT moneyline: -449
OAK moneyline: +384

Steelers closed -10.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 51; the game landed 45 — under by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 55°F, wind 8 mph
Referee: Ron Torbert
Rest: PIT 7 days · OAK 7 days
Coaches: Mike Tomlin vs Jon Gruden