2019 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 29, 2019 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Dallas Cowboys
10
New Orleans SaintsWinner
12
New Orleans Saints 12–10 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:02, DAL +20% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:02) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Williams [22-C.Gardner-Johnson] at NO 13. 43-M.Williams to NO 14 for 1 yard (18-R.Cobb).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:02DAL +20% win prob(:02) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Williams [22-C.Gardner-Johnson] at NO 13. 43-M.Williams to NO 14 for 1 yard (18-R.Cobb).
- Q4 · 1:39DAL +16% win prob(1:39) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 3 for -11 yards (93-D.Onyemata). DAL-77-T.Smith was injured during the play. Owing to the injury and Dallas being out of timeouts, there was a 10-second runoff.
- Q3 · 8:49NO +14% win prob(8:49) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 89-B.Jarwin to NO 2 for 35 yards (43-M.Williams) [92-M.Davenport]. NO-92-M.Davenport was injured during the play. His return is Probable. Pass 25, YAC 10
- Q4 · 0:17NO +13% win prob(:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 18-R.Cobb to DAL 48 for 32 yards (43-M.Williams). Pass 24, YAC 8
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Cowboys | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 53 | 62 |
| Total yards | 257 | 266 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.8 (edge) | 4.3 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.17 | -0.14 (edge) |
| Success rate | 38% | 44% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 64% | 60% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.02 (edge) | -0.25 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.44 | 0.03 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/11 (edge) | 6/14 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 2 | 6 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 16 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 (edge) |
Saints won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.14 expected points added per play vs -0.17.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | DAL 25 | 8 | 26 | 3:03 | Punt | |
| 2 | NO | NO 14 | 6 | 33 | 3:15 | Interception | |
| 3 | DAL | DAL 46 | 9 | 29 | 3:34 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | NO | NO 26 | 10 | 47 | 5:13 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | DAL | DAL 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 6 | NO | NO 49 | 7 | 37 | 4:45 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | DAL | DAL 25 | 4 | 22 | 1:35 | Fumble | |
| 8 | NO | NO 47 | 4 | 11 | 2:28 | Punt | |
| 9 | DAL | DAL 22 | 7 | 32 | 3:09 | Fumble | |
| 10 | NO | DAL 44 | 8 | 29 | 1:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | NO | NO 25 | 5 | 9 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 12 | DAL | DAL 16 | 12 | 79 | 5:44 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | NO | NO 25 | 16 | 62 | 9:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | DAL | DAL 25 | 7 | 12 | 2:15 | Punt | |
| 15 | NO | NO 20 | 7 | 23 | 4:35 | Punt | |
| 16 | DAL | DAL 10 | 4 | 8 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 17 | NO | NO 38 | 10 | 15 | 3:43 | Punt | |
| 18 | DAL | DAL 14 | 8 | 44 | 1:39 | Interception |
0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 79 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- DAL -2.5
- Closing total
- 47
- DAL moneyline
- -140
- NO moneyline
- +127
Cowboys closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 47; the game landed 22 — under by 25.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Superdome
- Roof / surface
- dome · astroturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Carl Cheffers
- Rest
- DAL 7 days · NO 7 days
- Coaches
- Jason Garrett vs Sean Payton