2019 Week 8 · Thu, Oct 24, 2019 · U.S. Bank Stadium
Washington Commanders
9
Minnesota VikingsWinner
19
Minnesota Vikings 19–9. Biggest swing: Q1 12:38, WAS +9% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(12:38) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 14-S.Diggs to WAS 25 for 32 yards (55-C.Holcomb) [20-L.Collins]. FUMBLES (55-C.Holcomb), RECOVERED by WAS-52-R.Anderson at WAS 25. 52-R.Anderson to WAS 25 for no gain (56-G.Bradbur
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 12:38WAS +9% win prob(12:38) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 14-S.Diggs to WAS 25 for 32 yards (55-C.Holcomb) [20-L.Collins]. FUMBLES (55-C.Holcomb), RECOVERED by WAS-52-R.Anderson at WAS 25. 52-R.Anderson to WAS 25 for no gain (56-G.Bradbury).
- Q1 · 9:04WAS +8% win prob(9:04) 8-C.Keenum sacked at WAS 46 for -7 yards (99-D.Hunter). FUMBLES (99-D.Hunter) [99-D.Hunter], RECOVERED by MIN-93-S.Stephen at WAS 46. 93-S.Stephen to WAS 46 for no gain (26-A.Peterson).
- Q2 · 2:00MIN +7% win prob(2:00) 3-D.Hopkins 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
- Q1 · 12:24MIN +6% win prob(12:24) 8-C.Keenum pass deep middle to 10-P.Richardson to WAS 43 for 18 yards (54-E.Kendricks).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Commanders | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 41 | 67 |
| Total yards | 216 | 434 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.3 | 6.5 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.26 | 0.03 (edge) |
| Success rate | 44% (edge) | 40% |
| Dropback rate | 61% | 45% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.34 | 0.23 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.14 | -0.12 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/7 | 8/15 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 8 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 13 | 20 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 3 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.26.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | MIN 25 | 6 | 50 | 2:36 | Fumble | |
| 2 | WAS | WAS 25 | 5 | 31 | 3:27 | Fumble | |
| 3 | MIN | WAS 46 | 8 | 14 | 3:37 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | WAS | WAS 25 | 14 | 53 | 6:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | MIN | MIN 25 | 11 | 74 | 6:34 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | WAS | WAS 25 | 12 | 63 | 5:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | MIN | MIN 25 | 9 | 75 | 1:50 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | WAS | — | 1 | 0 | 0:07 | End of half | |
| 9 | WAS | WAS 21 | 5 | 7 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 10 | MIN | MIN 9 | 10 | 71 | 4:50 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | WAS | WAS 25 | 7 | 50 | 3:22 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | MIN | MIN 25 | 6 | 19 | 2:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | WAS | MIN 34 | 2 | 4 | 0:42 | Interception | |
| 14 | MIN | MIN 19 | 12 | 54 | 6:23 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | WAS | WAS 25 | 5 | -3 | 1:54 | Punt | |
| 16 | MIN | MIN 34 | 14 | 77 | 8:16 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | WAS | WAS 5 | 1 | 11 | 0:26 | End of game |
0 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 77 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- MIN -16.5
- Closing total
- 42
- WAS moneyline
- +729
- MIN moneyline
- -1023
Vikings closed -16.5, won by 10 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 42; the game landed 28 — under by 14.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- U.S. Bank Stadium
- Roof / surface
- dome · sportturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Carl Cheffers
- Rest
- WAS 4 days · MIN 4 days
- Coaches
- Bill Callahan vs Mike Zimmer