2019 Super Bowl · Sun, Feb 2, 2020 · Hard Rock Stadium
San Francisco 49ers
20
Kansas City ChiefsWinner
31
Kansas City Chiefs 31–20. Biggest swing: Q4 3:44, KC +23% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(3:44) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 14-S.Watkins pushed ob at SF 10 for 38 yards (20-J.Ward).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 3:44KC +23% win prob(3:44) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 14-S.Watkins pushed ob at SF 10 for 38 yards (20-J.Ward).
- Q4 · 2:50KC +18% win prob(2:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 26-Dam.Williams for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
- Q4 · 12:05SF +15% win prob(12:05) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 10-T.Hill INTERCEPTED by 33-T.Moore at SF 13. 33-T.Moore to SF 20 for 7 yards (14-S.Watkins).
- Q4 · 1:33SF +14% win prob(1:33) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked at SF 42 for -9 yards (55-F.Clark).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | 49ers | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 53 | 72 |
| Total yards | 352 | 412 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.6 (edge) | 5.7 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.12 | 0.21 (edge) |
| Success rate | 47% | 51% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 64% | 69% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.05 | 0.11 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.24 | 0.44 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/8 | 6/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 | 7 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 | 25 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.21 expected points added per play vs 0.12.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 26 | 5 | 7 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 2 | SF | SF 18 | 10 | 57 | 5:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | KC | KC 25 | 17 | 75 | 7:26 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | SF | SF 25 | 4 | 16 | 1:23 | Interception | |
| 5 | KC | KC 44 | 9 | 43 | 4:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | SF | SF 20 | 9 | 80 | 4:27 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | KC | KC 19 | 9 | 30 | 4:06 | Punt | |
| 8 | SF | SF 20 | 4 | 25 | 0:59 | End of half | |
| 9 | SF | SF 16 | 10 | 60 | 5:31 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | KC | KC 9 | 8 | 30 | 4:06 | Interception | |
| 11 | SF | SF 45 | 7 | 55 | 2:48 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | KC | KC 25 | 13 | 52 | 5:38 | Interception | |
| 13 | SF | SF 20 | 6 | 22 | 3:04 | Punt | |
| 14 | KC | KC 17 | 11 | 68 | 2:40 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | SF | SF 20 | 5 | 5 | 1:03 | Punt | |
| 16 | KC | KC 35 | 8 | 65 | 2:26 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | SF | SF 15 | 8 | 32 | 1:19 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | KC | SF 42 | 3 | 42 | 0:13 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | SF | SF 25 | 3 | 0 | 0:15 | Interception | |
| 20 | KC | KC 41 | 4 | 0 | 0:57 | Turnover on downs |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 80 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- KC -1.5
- Closing total
- 52.5
- SF moneyline
- +113
- KC moneyline
- -125
Chiefs closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 11.
Total closed 52.5; the game landed 51 — under by 1.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- —
- Referee
- Bill Vinovich
- Rest
- SF 14 days · KC 14 days
- Coaches
- Kyle Shanahan vs Andy Reid