2022 Week 6 · Thu, Oct 13, 2022 · Soldier Field

Washington CommandersWinner

Chicago Bears

WAS -1 ✓U 38.5 ✓Commanders closed -1 and covered, winning by 5.

Washington Commanders 12–7. Biggest swing: Q4 0:35, WAS +29% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:35WAS 12 — CHI 7CHI ball · 4th & 4WAS 69%

(:35) 1-J.Fields pass short right to 11-D.Mooney pushed ob at WAS 1 for 3 yards (25-B.St-Juste).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:35WAS +29% win prob(:35) 1-J.Fields pass short right to 11-D.Mooney pushed ob at WAS 1 for 3 yards (25-B.St-Juste).
Q4 · 8:18CHI +28% win prob(8:18) 5-T.Way punts 54 yards to CHI 9, Center-54-C.Cheeseman. 12-V.Jones MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by WAS-34-C.Holmes at CHI 6.
Q4 · 1:06CHI +23% win prob(1:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Fields scrambles left end pushed ob at WAS 5 for 39 yards (37-R.Wildgoose). WAS-93-J.Allen was injured during the play.
Q3 · 7:23CHI +15% win prob(7:23) (No Huddle) 1-J.Fields pass deep left to 18-D.Pettis for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN [90-M.Sweat]. Penalty on WAS, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, declined.

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q2 · 0:50WAS Field goal
(:50) 6-J.Slye 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.
Score after this play: WAS 3 — CHI 0
Q3 · 7:23CHI Touchdown
(7:23) (No Huddle) 1-J.Fields pass deep left to 18-D.Pettis for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN [90-M.Sweat]. Penalty on WAS, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, declined. (kick good)
Score after this play: WAS 3 — CHI 7
Q4 · 14:55WAS Field goal
(14:55) 6-J.Slye 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.
Score after this play: WAS 6 — CHI 7
Q4 · 7:25WAS Touchdown
(7:25) (Shotgun) 8-B.Robinson left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: WAS 12 — CHI 7

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Commanders	Bears
Offensive plays	54	69
Total yards	214	391 (edge)
Yards per play	4.0	5.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.11 (edge)	-0.11
Success rate	39%	42% (edge)
Dropback rate	48%	61%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.34	-0.22 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.11 (edge)	0.05
Third downs	2/11	5/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	8 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	13	18 (edge)
Sacks taken	3 (edge)	5
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Bears outgained Commanders 391–214 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CHI

Justin FieldsQB

14/27, 190 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-14.4 expected points added · -6.1% completion over expected

Passing · WAS

Carson WentzQB

12/22, 99 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-8.9 expected points added · -16.3% completion over expected

Rushing · CHI

Justin FieldsQB

12 att, 88 yds, 0 TD

6.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CHI

Khalil HerbertRB

7 att, 74 yds, 0 TD

-1.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CHI

Dante PettisWR

4/7 for 84 yds, 1 TD

27% of team targets · 3.0 expected points added

Receiving · CHI

Darnell MooneyWR

7/12 for 68 yds, 0 TD

46% of team targets · -4.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CHI	CHI 25	9	1	3:53	Punt
2	WAS	WAS 23	4	-5	1:51	Punt
3	CHI	CHI 34	11	66	6:58	Interception
4	WAS	WAS 6	6	21	3:17	Punt
5	CHI	CHI 31	5	65	2:43	Turnover on downs
6	WAS	WAS 1	7	27	3:15	Punt
7	CHI	CHI 23	5	33	2:02	Punt
8	WAS	WAS 17	5	20	2:14	Punt
9	CHI	CHI 21	4	6	1:24	Punt
10	WAS	WAS 23	9	25	1:37	Field goal +3
11	CHI	CHI 25	7	30	0:46	End of half
12	WAS	WAS 25	7	19	3:47	Punt
13	CHI	CHI 6	10	94	3:57	Touchdown +7
14	WAS	WAS 25	14	70	7:25	Field goal +3
15	CHI	CHI 22	8	8	4:17	Punt
16	WAS	WAS 33	4	9	2:28	Punt
17	WAS	CHI 6	3	6	0:45	Touchdown +6
18	CHI	CHI 25	11	27	4:53	Turnover on downs
19	WAS	WAS 48	5	22	0:39	Missed field goal
20	CHI	CHI 38	8	61	1:19	Turnover on downs
21	WAS	WAS 1	1	0	0:30	End of game

4 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bears gained 94 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Washington Commanders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	12/22	99	0	0	3	-8.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Brian Robinson	17	60	3.5	1	0.6
Antonio Gibson	5	35	7.0	0	1.5
J.D. McKissic	2	20	10.0	0	1.3
Terry McLaurin	2	11	5.5	0	0.1
Carson Wentz	2	2	1.0	0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Terry McLaurin	3	4	41	18%	2.7
Cole Turner	2	2	23	9%	1.4
Antonio Gibson	3	4	18	18%	-0.1
Cam Sims	1	2	6	9%	-0.4
Curtis Samuel	2	5	6	23%	-2.8
Dax Milne	1	1	5	5%	-0.0
J.D. McKissic	0	3	0	14%	-2.5
Dyami Brown	0	1	0	5%	-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Cole Holcomb	7	5	0.0	0	0
Montez Sweat	3	3	1.0	0	0
Rachad Wildgoose	6	0	0.0	0	0
Kamren Curl	5	0	1.0	0	0
Kendall Fuller	5	0	0.0	0	0
Jonathan Allen	4	0	1.0	1	1
Jamin Davis	3	1	0.0	0	0
Darrick Forrest	2	2	0.0	0	1
Efe Obada	2	2	1.0	0	1
James Smith-Williams	1	2	0.0	0	1

Chicago Bears

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Justin Fields	14/27	190	1	1	5	-14.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Justin Fields	12	88	7.3	6.2
Khalil Herbert	7	74	10.6	-1.1
David Montgomery	15	67	4.5	2.2
Velus Jones	1	8	8.0	0.8
Equanimeous St. Brown	1	1	1.0	-0.5
Ihmir Smith-Marsette	1	-1	-1.0	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Dante Pettis	4	7	84	1	27%	3.0
Darnell Mooney	7	12	68	0	46%	-4.9
Cole Kmet	1	3	15	0	12%	-4.8
David Montgomery	1	1	13	0	4%	1.1
Velus Jones	1	1	10	0	4%	1.9
Ryan Griffin	0	1	0	0	4%	-1.0
Ihmir Smith-Marsette	0	1	0	0	4%	-2.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Roquan Smith	7	3	1.0	0
Nicholas Morrow	3	6	0.0	0
Kyler Gordon	5	1	0.0	1
Eddie Jackson	4	1	0.0	0
Armon Watts	1	4	0.0	0
Jaquan Brisker	1	3	1.0	0
Jaylon Johnson	2	1	0.0	1
Kindle Vildor	2	0	0.0	1
Khalil Herbert	1	0	0.0	0
Khari Blasingame	1	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: WAS -1
Closing total: 38.5
WAS moneyline: -120
CHI moneyline: +109

Commanders closed -1 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 38.5; the game landed 19 — under by 19.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Soldier Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: Adrian Hill
Rest: WAS 4 days · CHI 4 days
Coaches: Ron Rivera vs Matt Eberflus