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2022 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 13, 2022 · Hard Rock Stadium

Cleveland Browns

17

Miami DolphinsWinner

39

MIA -3 ✓O 49 ✓

Miami Dolphins 39–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 14:52, MIA +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3MIA ↑CLE ↓
Q1 · 14:52CLE 0 — MIA 0CLE ball · 1st & 10MIA 56%

(14:52) 7-J.Brissett pass deep left to 11-D.Peoples-Jones to MIA 15 for 38 yards (28-K.Kohou) [92-Z.Sieler].

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 14:52MIA +10% win prob(14:52) 7-J.Brissett pass deep left to 11-D.Peoples-Jones to MIA 15 for 38 yards (28-K.Kohou) [92-Z.Sieler].
  2. Q1 · 0:20CLE +8% win prob(:20) 24-N.Chubb right tackle to MIA 31 for 3 yards (92-Z.Sieler). FUMBLES (92-Z.Sieler), touched at MIA 31, RECOVERED by MIA-25-X.Howard at MIA 29.
  3. Q1 · 3:11MIA +8% win prob(3:11) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep left to 11-D.Peoples-Jones to MIA 45 for 22 yards (45-D.Riley; 32-V.McKinley).
  4. Q2 · 1:36CLE +7% win prob(1:36) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett sacked at CLE 20 for -11 yards (sack split by 94-C.Wilkins and 6-M.Ingram).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 12:18CLE Touchdown

    (12:18) 66-J.Hudson and 72-H.Froholdt reported in as eligible. 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 88-H.Bryant for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — MIA 0
  2. Q1 · 6:21MIA Touchdown

    (6:21) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 30-A.Ingold for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — MIA 7
  3. Q2 · 11:09MIA Field goal

    (11:09) 7-J.Sanders 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — MIA 10
  4. Q2 · 0:37MIA Touchdown

    (:37) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 14-T.Sherfield for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — MIA 17
  5. Q3 · 11:42MIA Touchdown

    (11:42) 31-R.Mostert left tackle for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 7 — MIA 24
  6. Q3 · 7:00CLE Field goal

    (7:00) 3-C.York 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — MIA 24
  7. Q3 · 0:41MIA Touchdown

    (:41) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short middle to 10-T.Hill for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — MIA 30
  8. Q4 · 13:19CLE Touchdown

    (13:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 24-N.Chubb left end for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 17 — MIA 30
  9. Q4 · 8:19MIA Field goal

    (8:19) 7-J.Sanders 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead.

    Score after this play: CLE 17 — MIA 33
  10. Q4 · 7:13MIA Touchdown

    (7:13) 23-J.Wilson left end for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: CLE 17 — MIA 39

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBrownsDolphins
Offensive plays6164
Total yards298491 (edge)
Yards per play4.97.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.090.40 (edge)
Success rate46%61% (edge)
Dropback rate69%53%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.030.52 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.220.26 (edge)
Third downs5/126/10 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)510 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1728 (edge)
Sacks taken31 (edge)
Turnovers10 (edge)

Dolphins won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.40 expected points added per play vs -0.09.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIA

Tua TagovailoaQB

25/32, 285 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

18.0 expected points added · +8.6% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Jacoby BrissettQB

22/35, 212 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-6.0 expected points added · +0.8% completion over expected

Rushing · MIA

Jeffery WilsonRB

17 att, 119 yds, 1 TD

5.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIA

Raheem MostertRB

8 att, 65 yds, 1 TD

4.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

Donovan Peoples-JonesWR

5/9 for 99 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 2.5 expected points added

Receiving · MIA

Jaylen WaddleWR

4/5 for 66 yds, 0 TD

15% of team targets · 6.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CLECLE 476452:47Touchdown +7
2MIAMIA 1612846:00Touchdown +7
3CLECLE 2513446:00Fumble
4MIAMIA 299554:08Field goal +3
5CLECLE 2510335:30Turnover on downs
6MIAMIA 427433:27Turnover on downs
7CLECLE 15550:46Punt
8MIAMIA 478530:50Touchdown +7
9CLECLE 17200:32End of half
10MIAMIA 308703:25Touchdown +7
11CLECLE 2512414:39Field goal +3
12MIAMIA 2315776:19Touchdown +6
13CLECLE 249862:28Touchdown +7
14MIAMIA 2510614:54Field goal +3
15CLECLE 255-51:02Turnover on downs
16MIACLE 202200:06Touchdown +6
17CLECLE 2512493:02Turnover on downs
18MIAMIA 367284:05End of game

10 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 86 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jacoby Brissett22/35212103-6.0

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Nick Chubb11635.71-3.6
Jacoby Brissett7405.706.9
Kareem Hunt691.50-2.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Donovan Peoples-Jones5999026%2.5
Amari Cooper333209%3.6
David Bell3524015%-1.5
Nick Chubb3418012%0.8
Harrison Bryant331519%0.6
Pharaoh Brown2513015%-1.3
Kareem Hunt111003%1.2
Anthony Schwartz11303%-1.1
Mike Woods02006%-2.5
D'Ernest Johnson11-203%-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Sione Takitaki720.000
Grant Delpit440.000
Denzel Ward520.001
Deion Jones250.500
Jordan Kunaszyk410.001
John Johnson120.000
Ronnie Harrison200.000
Greg Newsome110.500
Martin Emerson200.001
Alex Wright110.000

Miami Dolphins

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tua Tagovailoa25/3228530018.0
Skylar Thompson1/1170000.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jeffery Wilson171197.015.0
Raheem Mostert8658.114.5
Salvon Ahmed3113.700.8
Tua Tagovailoa100.00-1.2
Skylar Thompson300.00-3.0
Durham Smythe100.00-1.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jaylen Waddle4566015%6.8
Trent Sherfield4563115%3.8
Alec Ingold4445112%3.5
Tyreek Hill5644118%2.9
Mike Gesicki233109%2.0
Jeffery Wilson2524015%-0.9
Raheem Mostert4422012%0.4
Cedrick Wilson11703%0.3

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Christian Wilkins341.000
Jerome Baker330.001
Justin Bethel420.002
Elandon Roberts510.000
Andrew Van Ginkel230.000
Verone McKinley320.000
Kader Kohou310.003
Bradley Chubb030.500
Xavien Howard210.000
Duke Riley120.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIA -3
Closing total
49
CLE moneyline
+158
MIA moneyline
-177

Dolphins closed -3 and covered, winning by 22.

Total closed 49; the game landed 56 — over by 7.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Hard Rock Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
85°F, wind 7 mph
Referee
Shawn Hochuli
Rest
CLE 13 days · MIA 7 days
Coaches
Kevin Stefanski vs Mike McDaniel