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2022 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 20, 2022 · MetLife Stadium

Detroit LionsWinner

31

New York Giants

18

NYG -3 upsetO 44 ✓21 mph wind

Detroit Lions 31–18. Biggest swing: Q2 6:19, DET +19% win probability on one snap. Played in 21 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYGDET
Q2 · 6:19DET 3NYG 6NYG ball · 2nd & 6NYG 69%

(6:19) (No Huddle) 8-D.Jones pass short middle intended for 86-D.Slayton INTERCEPTED by 97-A.Hutchinson at NYG 38. 97-A.Hutchinson pushed ob at NYG 18 for 20 yards (78-A.Thomas).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 6:19DET +19% win prob(6:19) (No Huddle) 8-D.Jones pass short middle intended for 86-D.Slayton INTERCEPTED by 97-A.Hutchinson at NYG 38. 97-A.Hutchinson pushed ob at NYG 18 for 20 yards (78-A.Thomas).
  2. Q1 · 13:42DET +10% win prob(13:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 19 for -8 yards (54-A.McNeill).
  3. Q2 · 4:44NYG +8% win prob(4:44) 30-Ja.Williams left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q1 · 5:54NYG +8% win prob(5:54) 31-M.Breida left end to DET 44 for 5 yards (5-D.Elliott).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 7:55DET Field goal

    (7:55) 17-M.Badgley 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    Score after this play: DET 3NYG 0
  2. Q1 · 2:46NYG Touchdown

    (2:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: DET 3NYG 6
  3. Q2 · 4:44DET Touchdown

    (4:44) 30-Ja.Williams left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 10NYG 6
  4. Q2 · 0:59DET Touchdown

    (:59) (Shotgun) 30-Ja.Williams right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 17NYG 6
  5. Q3 · 10:14DET Touchdown

    (10:14) 30-Ja.Williams right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 24NYG 6
  6. Q4 · 13:25NYG Touchdown

    (13:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 31-M.Breida left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    Score after this play: DET 24NYG 12
  7. Q4 · 6:13DET Touchdown

    (6:13) (Shotgun) 32-D.Swift up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: DET 31NYG 12
  8. Q4 · 4:26NYG Touchdown

    (4:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short middle to 80-R.James for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN [2-A.Bryant].

    Score after this play: DET 31NYG 18

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricLionsGiants
Offensive plays6073
Total yards328413 (edge)
Yards per play5.55.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.11 (edge)-0.02
Success rate45%45% (edge)
Dropback rate43%67%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.11 (edge)-0.03
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.12 (edge)-0.00
Third downs6/12 (edge)5/13
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)7 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps2125 (edge)
Sacks taken0 (edge)2
Turnovers0 (edge)3

Giants outgained Lions 413–328 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

27/44, 341 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

2.5 expected points added · +1.2% completion over expected

Passing · DET

Jared GoffQB

17/26, 165 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

2.8 expected points added · -0.3% completion over expected

Rushing · DET

Justin JacksonRB

9 att, 66 yds, 0 TD

1.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DET

Jamaal WilliamsRB

17 att, 64 yds, 3 TD

-0.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR

9/13 for 100 yds, 0 TD

33% of team targets · 0.8 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

5/10 for 86 yds, 0 TD

25% of team targets · -0.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 235-42:02Punt
2DETDET 3011495:06Field goal +3
3NYGNYG 2513755:11Touchdown +6
4DETDET 298143:28Punt
5NYGNYG 289425:13Punt
6DETDET 8492:09Punt
7NYGNYG 27240:42Interception
8DETNYG 184161:31Touchdown +7
9NYGNYG 68372:19Punt
10DETDET 328781:25Touchdown +7
11NYGNYG 178250:54End of half
12DETDET 4411564:50Touchdown +7
13NYGNYG 258352:48Interception
14DETNYG 41431:02Punt
15NYGNYG 710443:20Punt
16DETDET 9471:38Punt
17NYGNYG 3310673:01Touchdown +6
18DETDET 259414:36Punt
19NYGNYG 204180:52Fumble
20DETNYG 335331:43Touchdown +7
21NYGNYG 258701:50Touchdown +6
22DETNYG 489224:20End of game

8 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 78 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Detroit Lions

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jared Goff17/261650002.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Justin Jackson9667.301.9
Jamaal Williams17643.83-0.0
D'Andre Swift5204.010.1
Kalif Raymond177.001.1
Amon-Ra St. Brown144.000.4
Jared Goff4-1-0.30-1.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Amon-Ra St. Brown7876032%3.1
Kalif Raymond3733028%-1.7
Brock Wright222008%2.4
Tom Kennedy111304%2.4
D'Andre Swift3312012%-1.1
Justin Jackson111104%0.7
Jason Cabinda02008%-1.3
D.J. Chark01004%-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Will Harris530.000
DeShon Elliott800.000
Jerry Jacobs600.001
Derrick Barnes510.000
Alim McNeill311.000
Malcolm Rodriguez310.000
Alex Anzalone130.000
John Cominsky301.001
C.J. Moore210.000
Amani Oruwariye200.000

New York Giants

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Daniel Jones27/443411222.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Daniel Jones7507.117.4
Saquon Barkley15221.50-10.1
Matt Breida3134.313.3
Wan'Dale Robinson144.00-0.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Wan'Dale Robinson913100033%0.8
Darius Slayton51086025%-0.7
Richie James334818%4.9
Isaiah Hodgins332908%-1.5
Kenny Golladay222905%1.7
Lawrence Cager232008%-3.5
Matt Breida111603%2.3
Saquon Barkley2513013%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Dexter Lawrence240.000
Julian Love330.001
Jaylon Smith140.000
Darnay Holmes400.000
Rodarius Williams400.000
Micah McFadden220.000
Jihad Ward220.001
Jason Pinnock300.000
Leonard Williams120.000
Nick McCloud200.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NYG -3
Closing total
44
DET moneyline
+143
NYG moneyline
-159

Giants closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 44; the game landed 49 — over by 5.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
35°F, wind 21 mph
Referee
Brad Rogers
Rest
DET 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches
Dan Campbell vs Brian Daboll

Wind at 21 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.