2022 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 4, 2022 · Lincoln Financial Field

Tennessee Titans

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

PHI -5 ✓O 44.5 ✓Eagles closed -5 and covered, winning by 25.

Philadelphia Eagles 35–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 2:53, PHI +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 2:53TEN 6 — PHI 7TEN ball · 3rd & 3PHI 75%

(2:53) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep middle to 16-T.Burks for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TEN-16-T.Burks was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. PENALTY on PHI-22-M.Epps, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, e

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 2:53PHI +12% win prob(2:53) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep middle to 16-T.Burks for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TEN-16-T.Burks was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. PENALTY on PHI-22-M.Epps, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
Q2 · 14:03PHI +12% win prob(14:03) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TEN-26-K.Fulton was injured during the play. Penalty on TEN-26-K.Fulton, Illegal Contact, declined.
Q1 · 12:11PHI +8% win prob(12:11) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep middle to 6-D.Smith for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 14:54PHI +6% win prob(14:54) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep middle to 89-J.Stoll to TEN 35 for 26 yards (37-A.Hooker).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

Q1 · 12:11PHI Touchdown
(12:11) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep middle to 6-D.Smith for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 0 — PHI 7
Q1 · 2:53TEN Touchdown
(2:53) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep middle to 16-T.Burks for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TEN-16-T.Burks was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. PENALTY on PHI-22-M.Epps, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — PHI 7
Q2 · 14:03PHI Touchdown
(14:03) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TEN-26-K.Fulton was injured during the play. Penalty on TEN-26-K.Fulton, Illegal Contact, declined. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — PHI 14
Q2 · 3:32TEN Field goal
(3:32) 14-R.Bullock 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.
Score after this play: TEN 10 — PHI 14
Q2 · 0:56PHI Touchdown
(:56) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 10 — PHI 21
Q3 · 12:14PHI Touchdown
(12:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 10 — PHI 28
Q4 · 11:32PHI Touchdown
(11:32) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 10 — PHI 35

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Titans	Eagles
Offensive plays	53	67
Total yards	209	453 (edge)
Yards per play	3.9	6.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.23	0.32 (edge)
Success rate	28%	52% (edge)
Dropback rate	66%	64%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.18	0.44 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.33	0.10 (edge)
Third downs	4/14 (edge)	3/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	7 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	10	23 (edge)
Sacks taken	6	2 (edge)
Turnovers	0	0

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.32 expected points added per play vs -0.23.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

29/39, 380 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

18.4 expected points added · +14.1% completion over expected

Passing · TEN

Ryan TannehillQB

14/22, 141 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-8.7 expected points added · -2.1% completion over expected

Rushing · TEN

Derrick HenryRB

11 att, 30 yds, 0 TD

-3.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

10 att, 24 yds, 1 TD

-0.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

8/10 for 119 yds, 2 TD

26% of team targets · 9.1 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

DeVonta SmithWR

5/8 for 102 yds, 1 TD

21% of team targets · 4.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 25	9	85	2:57	Touchdown +7
2	TEN	TEN 25	5	1	2:11	Punt
3	PHI	PHI 28	4	5	1:37	Punt
4	TEN	TEN 29	11	66	5:28	Touchdown +7
5	PHI	PHI 15	9	100	3:52	Touchdown +7
6	TEN	TEN 23	5	3	1:42	Punt
7	PHI	PHI 43	7	2	3:24	Punt
8	TEN	TEN 13	10	74	5:21	Field goal +3
9	PHI	PHI 25	9	51	2:37	Touchdown +7
10	TEN	TEN 25	5	6	0:25	Punt
11	PHI	PHI 26	5	57	0:26	End of half
12	TEN	TEN 22	5	-7	1:31	Punt
13	PHI	50	5	50	1:22	Touchdown +7
14	TEN	TEN 23	6	9	2:31	Punt
15	PHI	PHI 37	4	-2	0:59	Punt
16	TEN	TEN 29	5	0	2:19	Punt
17	PHI	PHI 32	17	80	9:51	Touchdown +7
18	TEN	TEN 25	6	20	1:47	Punt
19	PHI	PHI 4	4	0	1:45	Punt
20	TEN	PHI 32	7	23	2:30	Turnover on downs
21	PHI	PHI 9	7	25	3:43	Punt
22	TEN	TEN 27	3	14	1:42	End of game

7 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 100 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ryan Tannehill	14/22	141	1	0	6	-8.7
Malik Willis	2/4	16	0	0	0	-3.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Ryan Tannehill	3	34	11.3	5.4
Derrick Henry	11	30	2.7	-3.5
Julius Chestnut	5	13	2.6	-2.6
Malik Willis	1	8	8.0	1.1
Dontrell Hilliard	1	2	2.0	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Chigoziem Okonkwo	4	5	68	0	20%	3.0
Treylon Burks	1	1	25	1	4%	3.4
Austin Hooper	3	5	22	0	20%	-0.3
Dontrell Hilliard	2	2	14	0	8%	-2.4
Derrick Henry	2	3	8	0	12%	-0.7
C.J. Board	1	1	6	0	4%	0.2
Robert Woods	1	5	6	0	20%	-2.4
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	1	2	4	0	8%	-0.6
Geoff Swaim	1	1	4	0	4%	-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Monty Rice	4	3	0
Tre Avery	6	1	2
Kevin Byard	4	3	0
Amani Hooker	4	2	0
Andrew Adams	3	3	0
Joe Schobert	4	1	0
Dylan Cole	4	1	0
Roger McCreary	4	0	0
Rashad Weaver	2	1	0
Joshua Kalu	2	1	0

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	29/39	380	3	0	2	18.4
Gardner Minshew	1/2	11	0	0	0	0.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Miles Sanders	10	24	2.4	1	-0.6
Boston Scott	6	16	2.7	0	-1.5
Kenneth Gainwell	3	15	5.0	0	-0.4
Jalen Hurts	5	12	2.4	1	4.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Brown	8	10	119	2	26%	9.1
DeVonta Smith	5	8	102	1	21%	4.2
Jack Stoll	3	3	41	0	8%	3.4
Kenneth Gainwell	3	4	38	0	11%	1.6
Quez Watkins	5	6	37	0	16%	1.8
Grant Calcaterra	1	1	19	0	3%	1.5
Zach Pascal	2	3	16	0	8%	0.7
Miles Sanders	2	2	14	0	5%	0.7
Boston Scott	1	1	5	0	3%	-0.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
T.J. Edwards	4	2	0.0	1
Nakobe Dean	5	1	0.0	0
Kyzir White	3	2	0.0	1
Christian Elliss	5	0	0.0	0
Josh Sweat	2	2	2.0	0
Shaun Bradley	2	1	0.0	0
Reed Blankenship	3	0	0.0	1
Brandon Graham	1	2	1.0	0
Javon Hargrave	2	1	1.0	0
Haason Reddick	0	2	1.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -5
Closing total: 44.5
TEN moneyline: +189
PHI moneyline: -213

Eagles closed -5 and covered, winning by 25.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 45 — over by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 60°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Adrian Hill
Rest: TEN 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches: Mike Vrabel vs Nick Sirianni