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2022 Wild Card · Mon, Jan 16, 2023 · Raymond James Stadium
31
14
Dallas Cowboys 31–14 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 14:47, TB +18% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(14:47) 5-B.Anger punts 50 yards to TB 25, Center-45-M.Overton. 83-D.Thompkins to TB 35 for 10 yards (85-N.Brown).
How the points landed
(6:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 86-D.Schultz for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: DAL 6 — TB 0(6:18) 4-D.Prescott left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: DAL 12 — TB 0(:34) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 86-D.Schultz for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN [54-L.David].
Score after this play: DAL 18 — TB 0(10:11) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 13-M.Gallup for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Score after this play: DAL 24 — TB 0(:05) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 6-J.Jones for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Score after this play: DAL 24 — TB 6(10:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: DAL 31 — TB 6(2:09) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (two-point conversion good)
Score after this play: DAL 31 — TB 14Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Cowboys | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 67 | 82 |
| Total yards | 426 (edge) | 388 |
| Yards per play | 6.4 (edge) | 4.7 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.37 (edge) | -0.05 |
| Success rate | 55% (edge) | 41% |
| Dropback rate | 55% | 85% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.68 (edge) | -0.05 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.01 (edge) | -0.03 |
| Third downs | 7/13 | 10/18 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 10 (edge) | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 24 | 26 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 2 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.37 expected points added per play vs -0.05.
Who moved the needle
Passing · TB
35/66, 351 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
-3.6 expected points added · -13.0% completion over expected
Passing · DAL
25/33, 305 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT
23.9 expected points added · +13.4% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | DAL 25 | 5 | 0 | 0:25 | Punt | |
| 2 | TB | TB 35 | 4 | -2 | 1:00 | Punt | |
| 3 | DAL | DAL 29 | 4 | -5 | 2:15 | Punt | |
| 4 | TB | TB 41 | 4 | 5 | 1:20 | Punt | |
| 5 | DAL | DAL 20 | 8 | 65 | 3:32 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 6 | TB | TB 25 | 15 | 70 | 6:37 | Interception | |
| 7 | DAL | DAL 20 | 16 | 90 | 8:38 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 8 | TB | TB 25 | 7 | 22 | 2:41 | Punt | |
| 9 | DAL | DAL 9 | 12 | 96 | 3:05 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 10 | TB | TB 25 | 6 | 25 | 0:27 | End of half | |
| 11 | TB | TB 27 | 5 | 6 | 0:49 | Punt | |
| 12 | DAL | DAL 14 | 9 | 81 | 4:07 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 13 | TB | TB 19 | 10 | 24 | 1:55 | Fumble | |
| 14 | DAL | DAL 22 | 9 | 31 | 5:00 | Punt | |
| 15 | TB | TB 5 | 11 | 95 | 3:09 | Touchdown +6 | |
| 16 | DAL | DAL 34 | 11 | 66 | 4:47 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 17 | TB | TB 16 | 13 | 73 | 3:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | DAL | DAL 12 | 4 | 2 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 19 | TB | TB 48 | 12 | 54 | 2:39 | Touchdown +8 | |
| 20 | TB | TB 49 | 7 | 16 | 0:56 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | DAL | DAL 35 | 2 | 0 | 1:08 | End of game |
7 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 96 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | 25/33 | 305 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Pollard | 15 | 77 | 5.1 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 13 | 27 | 2.1 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Dak Prescott | 7 | 24 | 3.4 | 1 | 4.8 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Schultz | 7 | 8 | 95 | 2 | 25% | 9.1 |
| CeeDee Lamb | 4 | 6 | 68 | 1 | 19% | 7.4 |
| Michael Gallup | 5 | 6 | 46 | 1 | 19% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leighton Vander Esch | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Daron Bland | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malik Hooker | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donovan Wilson |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 35/66 | 351 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachaad White | 7 | 41 | 5.9 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Cowboys closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 17.
Total closed 45.5; the game landed 45 — under by 0.5.
Conditions and crew
| 5.0 |
| Jake Ferguson | 1 | 1 | 34 | 0 | 3% | 2.4 |
| T.Y. Hilton | 2 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 13% | 0.6 |
| Noah Brown | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 6% | 2.9 |
| Tony Pollard | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 9% | -0.0 |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 6% | 0.5 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| Anthony Barr | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Israel Mukuamu | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Micah Parsons | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Xavier Rhodes | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayron Kearse | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 |
| Trevon Diggs | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.6 |
| Leonard Fournette | 5 | 11 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Godwin | 10 | 13 | 85 | 0 | 21% | 1.8 |
| Julio Jones | 7 | 11 | 74 | 1 | 18% | 3.3 |
| Mike Evans | 6 | 11 | 74 | 0 | 18% | 3.9 |
| Cade Otton | 4 | 7 | 58 | 0 | 11% | 2.4 |
| Rachaad White | 4 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 10% | 2.9 |
| Russell Gage | 2 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 13% | -10.1 |
| Cameron Brate | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 5% | 0.6 |
| Leonard Fournette | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2% | 0.6 |
| Ko Kieft | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -0.6 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lavonte David | 9 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Edwards | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sean Murphy-Bunting | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devin White | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antoine Winfield | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlton Davis | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Nelson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Ryan | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joe Tryon | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| William Gholston | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
