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2024 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2024 · Lincoln Financial Field

Cleveland Browns

16

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

20

PHI -8 no coverU 42 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 20–16. Biggest swing: Q2 0:25, CLE +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3PHI ↑CLE ↓
Q2 · 0:25CLE 9 — PHI 10PHI ball · 4th & 9PHI 87%

(:25) 4-J.Elliott 57 yard field goal is BLOCKED (95-M.Garrett), Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann, RECOVERED by CLE-12-R.McLeod at 50. 12-R.McLeod for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 0:25CLE +18% win prob(:25) 4-J.Elliott 57 yard field goal is BLOCKED (95-M.Garrett), Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann, RECOVERED by CLE-12-R.McLeod at 50. 12-R.McLeod for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q4 · 8:03PHI +17% win prob(8:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 6-D.Smith for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q4 · 9:53PHI +11% win prob(9:53) 7-D.Hopkins 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.
  4. Q4 · 5:16PHI +8% win prob(5:16) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 2-A.Cooper to PHI 8 for 13 yards (8-C.Gardner-Johnson, 22-K.Ringo).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q2 · 13:06PHI Field goal

    (13:06) 4-J.Elliott 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: CLE 0 — PHI 3
  2. Q2 · 7:24PHI Touchdown

    (7:24) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 0 — PHI 10
  3. Q2 · 2:02CLE Field goal

    (2:02) 7-D.Hopkins 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 3 — PHI 10
  4. Q2 · 0:25CLE Touchdown

    (:25) 4-J.Elliott 57 yard field goal is BLOCKED (95-M.Garrett), Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann, RECOVERED by CLE-12-R.McLeod at 50. 12-R.McLeod for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — PHI 10
  5. Q3 · 2:54PHI Field goal

    (2:54) 4-J.Elliott 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-R.Lovato, Holder-10-B.Mann.

    Score after this play: CLE 10 — PHI 13
  6. Q4 · 9:53CLE Field goal

    (9:53) 7-D.Hopkins 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 13 — PHI 13
  7. Q4 · 8:03PHI Touchdown

    (8:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short right to 6-D.Smith for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CLE 13 — PHI 20
  8. Q4 · 3:57CLE Field goal

    (3:57) 7-D.Hopkins 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Holder-13-C.Bojorquez.

    Score after this play: CLE 16 — PHI 20

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBrownsEagles
Offensive plays5358
Total yards244376 (edge)
Yards per play4.66.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.020.17 (edge)
Success rate36%50% (edge)
Dropback rate57%45%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.060.27 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.120.09 (edge)
Third downs3/125/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)58 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1319 (edge)
Sacks taken51 (edge)
Turnovers00

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.17 expected points added per play vs -0.02.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

16/25, 264 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

7.1 expected points added · +2.3% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Deshaun WatsonQB

16/23, 168 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

1.5 expected points added · -0.5% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Saquon BarkleyRB

18 att, 47 yds, 0 TD

-5.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CLE

Pierre StrongRB

8 att, 43 yds, 0 TD

0.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

A.J. BrownWR

6/9 for 116 yds, 1 TD

38% of team targets · 5.9 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

Grant CalcaterraTE

4/4 for 67 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 4.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PHIPHI 26551:03Punt
2CLECLE 33451:15Punt
3PHIPHI 318162:45Punt
4CLECLE 1610255:07Punt
5PHIPHI 1114586:48Field goal +3
6CLECLE 30510:59Punt
7PHIPHI 1611844:46Touchdown +7
8CLECLE 3011405:19Field goal +3
9PHIPHI 287381:44Field goal
10PHIPHI 30200:14End of half
11CLECLE 309364:34Missed field goal
12PHIPHI 42441:27Punt
13CLECLE 7412:12Punt
14PHIPHI 477373:57Field goal +3
15CLECLE 3013548:01Field goal +3
16PHIPHI 306701:55Touchdown +7
17CLECLE 3010824:00Field goal +3
18PHIPHI 2411643:54End of game

7 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 84 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Deshaun Watson16/231680051.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Pierre Strong8435.400.6
D'Onta Foreman10313.10-2.7
Deshaun Watson4174.300.8
Jerome Ford2147.001.2
Cedric Tillman1-5-5.00-2.4

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Amari Cooper4642026%0.8
Pierre Strong2335013%2.6
Jerry Jeudy1335013%1.2
David Njoku5731030%0.7
D'Onta Foreman221609%1.0
Jaelon Darden11604%0.7
Elijah Moore11304%-0.0

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah441.001
Rodney McLeod800.001
Devin Bush150.000
Shelby Harris330.000
Greg Newsome500.000
Mohamoud Diabate230.000
D'Anthony Bell220.000
Maurice Hurst300.000
Myles Garrett300.000
Denzel Ward200.001

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jalen Hurts16/252642017.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Saquon Barkley18472.60-5.8
Jalen Hurts14332.402.6
Kenneth Gainwell3237.701.6
Jahan Dotson11313.000.8

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
A.J. Brown69116138%5.9
Grant Calcaterra4467017%4.2
DeVonta Smith3464117%3.7
Jahan Dotson1310013%-1.1
Saquon Barkley22708%-0.9
Kenneth Gainwell01004%-0.6
Dallas Goedert01004%-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Nakobe Dean650.000
Zack Baun440.000
Cooper DeJean330.500
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson320.002
Josh Sweat321.000
Reed Blankenship120.000
Brandon Graham210.000
Quinyon Mitchell210.000
Bryce Huff110.500
Jordan Davis110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
PHI -8
Closing total
42
CLE moneyline
+330
PHI moneyline
-425

Eagles closed -8, won by 4 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 42; the game landed 36 — under by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
82°F, wind 10 mph
Referee
Shawn Hochuli
Rest
CLE 7 days · PHI 14 days
Coaches
Kevin Stefanski vs Nick Sirianni