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2024 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 3, 2024 · State Farm Stadium

Chicago Bears

9

Arizona CardinalsWinner

29

ARI -1.5 ✓U 44.5 ✓Dome

Arizona Cardinals 29–9 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 0:12, ARI +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3ARI ↑CHI ↓
Q2 · 0:12CHI 9 — ARI 20ARI ball · 3rd & 5ARI 71%

(:12) (Shotgun) 31-E.Demercado right tackle for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 0:12ARI +16% win prob(:12) (Shotgun) 31-E.Demercado right tackle for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 3:40ARI +12% win prob(3:40) 38-C.Ryland 32 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin. PENALTY on CHI-99-G.Dexter, Leverage, 7 yards, enforced at CHI 14 - No Play.
  3. Q2 · 13:53ARI +10% win prob(13:53) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass deep left to 15-R.Odunze to ARI 23 for 44 yards (34-J.Thompson).
  4. Q1 · 3:37CHI +8% win prob(3:37) 19-T.Taylor punts 50 yards to ARI 32, Center-46-S.Daly. 4-G.Dortch to CHI 41 for 27 yards (20-T.Homer).

How the points landed

Scoring summary

  1. Q1 · 0:51ARI Touchdown

    (:51) 67-C.Heck reported in as eligible. 85-T.McBride left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 0 — ARI 7
  2. Q2 · 11:54CHI Field goal

    (11:54) 8-C.Santos 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.

    Score after this play: CHI 3 — ARI 7
  3. Q2 · 9:14CHI Field goal

    (9:14) 8-C.Santos 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.

    Score after this play: CHI 6 — ARI 7
  4. Q2 · 3:18ARI Touchdown

    (3:18) 33-T.Benson left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CHI-44-N.Sewell, Defensive Offside, declined. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 6 — ARI 14
  5. Q2 · 0:30CHI Field goal

    (:30) 8-C.Santos 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.

    Score after this play: CHI 9 — ARI 14
  6. Q2 · 0:12ARI Touchdown

    (:12) (Shotgun) 31-E.Demercado right tackle for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)

    Score after this play: CHI 9 — ARI 21
  7. Q3 · 4:55ARI Field goal

    (4:55) 38-C.Ryland 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin. Penalty on CHI-29-T.Stevenson, Defensive Offside, declined.

    Score after this play: CHI 9 — ARI 24
  8. Q4 · 14:07ARI Field goal

    (14:07) 38-C.Ryland 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

    Score after this play: CHI 9 — ARI 27
  9. Q4 · 7:58ARI Safety

    (7:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass incomplete short right to 84-M.Lewis. PENALTY on CHI-4-D.Swift, Chop Block, 1 yard, enforced in End Zone, SAFETY - No Play.

    Score after this play: CHI 9 — ARI 29

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBearsCardinals
Offensive plays6957
Total yards242350 (edge)
Yards per play3.56.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.23-0.07 (edge)
Success rate29%42% (edge)
Dropback rate72%40%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.26 (edge)-0.32
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.140.10 (edge)
Third downs3/145/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)37 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1518 (edge)
Sacks taken63 (edge)
Turnovers0 (edge)2

Cardinals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.07 expected points added per play vs -0.23.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CHI

Caleb WilliamsQB

22/41, 217 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-10.9 expected points added · -4.8% completion over expected

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

13/20, 154 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-1.3 expected points added · -0.1% completion over expected

Rushing · ARI

James ConnerRB

18 att, 107 yds, 0 TD

2.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CHI

D'Andre SwiftRB

16 att, 51 yds, 0 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CHI

Rome OdunzeWR

5/7 for 104 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · 8.3 expected points added

Receiving · CHI

Keenan AllenWR

4/10 for 36 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · -3.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ARIARI 30541:30Punt
2CHICHI 2111456:21Punt
3ARIARI 175192:45Punt
4CHICHI 16421:01Punt
5ARICHI 416412:37Touchdown +7
6CHICHI 2012693:55Field goal +3
7ARIARI 303230:49Fumble
8CHIARI 466111:52Field goal +3
9ARIARI 3014635:56Touchdown +7
10CHICHI 3011402:48Field goal +3
11ARIARI 306700:22Touchdown +7
12CHICHI 30200:04End of half
13CHICHI 30552:13Punt
14ARIARI 2013697:54Field goal +3
15CHICHI 3011104:58Turnover on downs
16ARICHI 40430:53Field goal +3
17CHICHI 305-32:11Punt
18ARIARI 206443:30Punt
19CHICHI 1100:27Safety
20ARICHI 36590:23Fumble
21CHICHI 269342:56Turnover on downs
22ARIARI 40452:20Punt
23CHICHI 196292:15End of game

8 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 70 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Chicago Bears

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Caleb Williams22/41217006-10.9

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
D'Andre Swift16513.20-1.2
Roschon Johnson3134.30-1.5
Caleb Williams451.30-2.1

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Rome Odunze57104019%8.3
Keenan Allen41036028%-3.5
D.J. Moore4933025%-1.1
D'Andre Swift6631017%0.6
Roschon Johnson23808%-1.9
Gerald Everett11503%-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Elijah Hicks440.000
T.J. Edwards340.000
Tyrique Stevenson520.002
Kevin Byard341.000
Tremaine Edmunds400.000
Jack Sanborn130.000
Jake Martin211.000
Dominique Robinson120.000
Gervon Dexter120.000
Austin Booker120.000

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Kyler Murray13/20154003-1.3

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
James Conner181075.902.1
Emari Demercado45914.813.9
Trey Benson8374.610.2
Kyler Murray263.00-2.6
Trey McBride122.010.6
DeeJay Dallas122.00-0.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Trey McBride3435021%2.2
Elijah Higgins2234011%2.7
Marvin Harrison2534026%-8.1
Emari Demercado2221011%1.8
Trey Benson111805%1.1
James Conner3312016%-0.4
Michael Wilson01005%-0.9
Greg Dortch01005%-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Budda Baker1020.000
Zaven Collins242.000
Starling Thomas500.001
Kyzir White320.500
Owen Pappoe310.000
Dante Stills130.500
Garrett Williams220.002
L.J. Collier210.500
Jalen Thompson110.000
Jesse Luketa201.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
ARI -1.5
Closing total
44.5
CHI moneyline
+100
ARI moneyline
-120

Cardinals closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 20.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 38 — under by 6.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Carl Cheffers
Rest
CHI 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches
Matt Eberflus vs Jonathan Gannon