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2025 Week 18 · Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · TIAA Bank Stadium
7
41
Jacksonville Jaguars 41–7 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 13:40, JAX +20% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(13:40) 9-L.Cooke punts 45 yards to TEN 42, Center-46-R.Matiscik, out of bounds.
How the points landed
(10:16) (Shotgun) 1-C.Ward right end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TEN-1-C.Ward was injured during the play. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — JAX 0(6:08) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 11-P.Washington for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — JAX 7(11:50) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 85-B.Strange for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — JAX 14(8:20) (Shotgun) 10-B.Allen pass short middle intended for 5-E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by 26-An.Johnson at JAX 42. 26-An.Johnson for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — JAX 21(2:00) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 80-Q.Morris for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — JAX 28(:03) 39-C.Little 67 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Score after this play: TEN 7 — JAX 31(1:08) 39-C.Little 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Score after this play: TEN 7 — JAX 34(7:32) 33-B.Tuten right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. (kick good)
Score after this play: TEN 7 — JAX 41Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Titans | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 53 | 55 |
| Total yards | 194 | 321 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.7 | 5.8 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.35 | 0.22 (edge) |
| Success rate | 30% | 47% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 66% | 65% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.57 | 0.42 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.08 (edge) | -0.16 |
| Third downs | 5/15 | 4/8 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 7 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 11 | 21 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 2 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
Jaguars won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.22 expected points added per play vs -0.35.
Who moved the needle
Passing · JAX
22/30, 255 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
10.2 expected points added · +11.8% completion over expected
Passing · TEN
17/30, 72 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-24.0 expected points added · -13.1% completion over expected
Receiving · JAX
5/9 for 87 yds, 1 TD
29% of team targets · 2.6 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | JAX 31 | 5 | -8 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 2 | TEN | TEN 42 | 6 | 63 | 3:22 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 3 | JAX | JAX 33 | 9 | 62 | 4:07 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 4 | TEN | TEN 24 | 7 | 15 | 2:56 | Punt | |
| 5 | JAX | JAX 20 | 4 | -2 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 6 | TEN | TEN 31 | 4 | 6 | 1:44 | Punt | |
| 7 | JAX | JAX 18 | 6 | 50 | 3:05 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 8 | TEN | TEN 35 | 7 | 30 | 3:40 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 9 | TEN | TEN 35 | 5 | 2 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 10 | JAX | JAX 14 | 10 | 86 | 5:06 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 11 | TEN | TEN 35 | 7 | 14 | 1:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | JAX | TEN 49 | 1 | 0 | 0:03 | Field goal +3 | |
| 13 | TEN | TEN 35 | 5 | -7 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 14 | JAX | JAX 21 | 10 | 36 | 4:02 | Punt | |
| 15 | TEN | TEN 15 | 4 | 9 | 2:27 | Punt | |
| 16 | JAX | JAX 25 | 10 | 46 | 5:51 | Field goal +3 | |
| 17 | TEN | TEN 35 | 8 | 16 | 2:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | JAX | JAX 49 | 11 | 51 | 5:55 | Touchdown +7 | |
| 19 | TEN | TEN 35 | 14 | 46 | 5:33 | Missed field goal | |
| 20 | JAX | JAX 42 | 3 | 0 | 1:55 | End of game |
7 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Jaguars gained 86 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Allen | 17/30 | 72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -24.0 |
| Cam Ward | 3/3 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Pollard | 14 | 48 | 3.4 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Tyjae Spears | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Cam Ward | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 1 | 1.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elic Ayomanor | 3 | 10 | 50 | 0 | 30% | -8.2 |
| Chimere Dike | 3 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 12% | 1.4 |
| Tony Pollard | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 9% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Gray | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sanoussi Kane | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Micah Robinson | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Truman Jones |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | 22/30 | 255 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10.2 |
| Nick Mullens | 2/2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Jaguars closed -12.5 and covered, winning by 34.
Total closed 46.5; the game landed 48 — over by 1.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 0.5 |
| David Martin-Robinson | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 9% | -2.6 |
| Tyjae Spears | 7 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 21% | -5.3 |
| James Proche | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3% | -0.1 |
| Chig Okonkwo | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15% | -3.8 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| James Williams | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jerrick Reed II | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Erick Hallett | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cody Barton | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jihad Ward | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darrell Baker Jr. | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Travis Etienne | 14 | 32 | 2.3 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 5 | 23 | 4.6 | 1 | 0.7 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 1.4 |
| Nick Mullens | 3 | -2 | -0.7 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Washington | 5 | 9 | 87 | 1 | 29% | 2.6 |
| Brenton Strange | 6 | 6 | 52 | 1 | 19% | 4.9 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | 3 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 16% | 2.8 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 5 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 19% | 3.1 |
| Johnny Mundt | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 3% | 1.0 |
| Dyami Brown | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | 1.8 |
| Travis Etienne | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3% | 0.8 |
| Quintin Morris | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3% | 1.8 |
| Tim Patrick | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | -0.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foye Oluokun | 3 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Devin Lloyd | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dawuane Smoot | 1 | 4 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Murray | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DaVon Hamilton | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Montaric Brown | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ventrell Miller | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antonio Johnson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jarrian Jones | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Christian Braswell | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
