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Prospect Report

The Biggest Outliers in College Basketball this Season

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The Biggest Outliers in College Basketball this Season

These players are making their presence felt. Get familiar with them before draft season comes around.

Yaxel Lendeborg (Michigan)

Yaxel has Wolverines humming this season, as they are currently undefeated in one of the better college conferences. He is currently the largest outlier in terms of his two-way impact. With an Offensive Box Plus-Minus of 12.3 and a 7.7 Defensive Box Plus-Minus. He has been a high usage interior threat who can also stretch the floor. Here are some of his elite traits so far, by percentile:

99th percentile Box Plus-Minus

99th percentile Offensive Box Plus-Minus

99th percentile Defensive Box Plus-Minus

99th percentile True Shooting %

97th percentile Effective Field Goal %

96th percentile Assist to Turnover Rate

This is a high efficient, and overwhelmingly impactful player. He will be rather old (23) coming into the NBA draft, which will drop him down most Big Boards. Keep an eye on Lendeborg and Michigan, who have title hopes this year.

Cameron Boozer (Duke)

Everyone knows how dominant Boozer has been for the Blue Devils this season, who are currently 11-1. He is currently the favorite to win the Wooden Award, and for good reason. Boozer has an OBPM of 13.9(!) and a 6.3 DBPM, showing his two way impact so far. He has been an absolute force on offense putting up 23.3 points and 4 assists on monster usage. Here are some of the statistics he ranks in the 99th percentile or better in:

Box Plus-Minus

Offensive Box Plus-Minus

Defensive Box Plus-Minus

Points per game

Rebounds per game

Usage rate

He is also putting up 1.6 blocks per game + 1 steal per game. Clearly a top player in the nation at only 18 years old. Keep an eye on Boozer come draft time, because he looks like a top-3 lock.

Kingston Flemings (Houston)

Flemings has been a defensive menace for Houston this year, who just suffered a tough loss to a red hot Arkansas team. He is currently averaging 2.2 steals per game this season, to go along with 4.7 assists. This combination of playmaking on both ends makes him a fantastic prospect, that any team could benefit from adding. He also has solid size for a guard at 6’4'“, and is only 18 years old. Here are some of his elite traits so far this season:

99th percentile Box Plus-Minus

99th percentile Free Throw %

99th percentile OBPM

99th percentile DBPM

98th percentile in Assists

97th percentile in Steals

Kingston Flemings looks like an elite two-way playmaker, and will almost certainly enter the upcoming NBA draft. Keep an eye on how his game progresses during conference play, and how Houston relies on his playmaking skills.

Joseph (JoJo) Tugler (Houston)

Houston gets another entry in Tugler, who might be an even better defensive playmaker than Flemings. In 12 games played this season, he is averaging a ridiculous 1.9 steals + 1.9 blocks per game. This is an insane level of defensive playmaking, which has helped Houston hold opposing offenses to only 57.7 points per game, good for 3rd in the nation. He showed out earlier this season with 5 blocks against a great Tennessee team, proving his dominance as a rim protector.

Dior Johnson (Tarleton State)

It is important to give some love to the guys who are hooping for smaller schools, and no one is more deserving than Dior Johnson. He is currently the highest rated player in terms of our “Bucket” score, meaning he scores a lot on high efficiency. If you have not heard of Dior, he is currently averaging 22.8 points per game on nearly 60% from the field. In a recent game against Baylor, he put up 42 of his teams 81 points. This is an elite scorer who can get buckets no matter the opponent. Here are some of his elite traits:

#1 Bucket Score on Dynatyze

99th percentile Offensive Box Plus-Minus

99th percentile points per game

99th percentile usage rate

97th percentile Box Plus-Minus

96th percentile True Shooting %

90th percentile Effective Field Goal

The former 5-star recruit has been held back by legal issues and injuries, but this is one of the best scorers in the country.

These are just a few of the biggest outliers in college basketball this season, but you can find plenty more on our NCAA Scouting Hub! Let me know what you think about the list on Discord or Twitter/X.