For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants of the ranked boards (dynasty and fantasy rankings for NFL, NBA, MLB and CFB) are available by appending.mdto those URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown; other pages answer 404.
Not startedThis page's interactive half has not started on this device. Nothing was read, and nothing was invented in its place. Reload the page.
polling · 1800s tick · as of 11:40 PM ET · 1 to play · 13 final
Game Center
Game Center
Every play as it lands, on the push channel — not a page that refreshes. The ribbon says which transport is carrying this page, and the feed says how fresh it is in its own words.
Bills at Raiders · final · live play feed
seeded from the server's slate read, awaiting the first frame
Last scoreKirk Cousins — touchdown, 4th 1:32 · Bills 33, Raiders 30
Fantasy points: not yet — they land with the live leaderboard once it is switched on. Live play feed · seeded from the server's slate read, awaiting the first frame
The broadcast win-probability model · one reading per play
The broadcast model's river closes on Bills at 100 percent — every finished game ends there. The lead changed hands 2 times.
Last told snap4th 0:00 · Bills 33 – Raiders 30 · End of game · −10 to BUF
Key plays · 1513 scores · 1 turnover · 1 decisive swing · fourth-down calls join once the fourth-down model answers
16points
Biggest swing · Raiders
2
Lead changes
Even money is the hairline. This is the live feed’s win probability, drawn here exactly as it arrived. Ours is a separate reading: expected points, EPA and success rate are computed here as each play lands. The two win probabilities sit beside each other, disagreeing and never averaged, in Two models; the expected-points swing is on every ranked row in Every play. They are estimates until the officially scored play-by-play replaces them, usually within two hours of the final, or the next morning when its release runs late, and they are labelled as estimates wherever they appear.
The field · 20 drives
Last driveBills — rush. From Bills 45 to Bills 43. 3 snaps, -2 yards of field. Began 4th 1:32.Not priced yet · live estimate
20 of 20 possessions placed on the field · 13 scored · Bills and Raiders
A drive that reached the end zone or the uprights — height is field position, and the stripe at each column’s foot is the club. The number under a column is the drive's expected points added, summed by the live estimate; a quieter number leaves out a play the model cannot price yet, and an empty cell is a drive it has not priced.
Key beats moved the line 3+ points or scored · 121 quieter plays sit under Every play
Play feed · seeded from the server's slate read, awaiting the first frame
Two models
Who moved this game
Kirk Cousins moved this game 141 points on 45 plays.
Points are win probability moved, summed over a player's plays — the first player named in the play text, read under one rule; a play naming nobody is counted, never guessed; 29 plays named nobody and count for no one. In-game win probability · seeded from the server's slate read, awaiting the first frame
The coach\u2019s call
Every play
Drive worth · 20 drives
Raiders' scored drive moved the game most — +28 points of win chance.
EPA withheld — the live estimate has not scored a snap here yet; WP swing is the in-game win probability, first told snap to last. seeded from the server's slate read, awaiting the first frame
Game leaders · by yards
ESPN box lines, folded to one leader per club per category · seeded from the server's slate read, awaiting the first frame
Who the ball goes to · target & carry share
Target and carry share from the live box lines; WOPR = 1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yard share, withheld when the league feed carries no air yards. · Bills at Raiders
Inactives · did not play
ESPN roster flags — dressed and unused plus inactives; refreshed every ten minutes · seeded from the server's slate read, awaiting the first frame
What the cameras saw
Where the ball went
